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Ligue 1

Referee: J Miguelgorry

Strasbourg

T S U S U

1–1

Full-time

Toulouse

T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg Toulouse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,7

Scored

2,2

0,7

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 32%

36%

27%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

55%

Both score Ø 64%

73%

55%

Average goals

3,1

2,6

Scored

1,7

0,9

Conceded

1,4

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

69% Possession 31%

18 Shots 6

2 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

10 Corners 3

8 Free kicks against 4

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Strasbourg 7. · Toulouse 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	12	12	0	0	+34	36
2	Lille	12	8	1	3	+11	25
3	Montpellier	11	6	4	1	+10	22
4	Lyon	12	6	3	3	+5	21
5	Marseille	11	6	1	4	+4	19
6	St Etienne	11	4	5	2	-1	17
7	Strasbourg	11	4	4	3	+4	16
8	Bordeaux	12	4	3	5	-1	15
9	Reims	11	3	5	3	-3	14
10	Nice	11	4	2	5	-6	14
11	Toulouse	11	3	4	4	-9	13
12	Angers	11	3	3	5	-2	12
13	Nantes	11	3	3	5	-3	12
14	Rennes	11	3	3	5	-4	12
15	Caen	11	2	5	4	-4	11
16	Nimes	11	2	5	4	-5	11
17	Dijon	11	3	2	6	-5	11
18	Amiens	11	3	1	7	-8	10
19	Monaco	11	1	4	6	-5	7
20	Guingamp	11	1	4	6	-12	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	7	0	0	+23	21
2	Lille	6	6	0	0	+12	18
3	Lyon	7	4	2	1	+7	14
4	Marseille	6	4	1	1	+9	13
5	Montpellier	6	3	2	1	+5	11
6	St Etienne	5	3	2	0	+4	11
7	Strasbourg	5	3	1	1	+5	10
8	Bordeaux	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Amiens	6	3	0	3	+2	9
10	Toulouse	6	2	2	2	-2	8
11	Caen	5	1	4	0	+1	7
12	Rennes	5	2	1	2	-1	7
13	Nimes	5	1	3	1	+0	6
14	Reims	5	1	3	1	+0	6
15	Nantes	5	1	2	2	+1	5
16	Angers	6	1	2	3	-2	5
17	Monaco	6	0	3	3	-3	3
18	Dijon	5	1	0	4	-6	3
19	Nice	5	1	0	4	-8	3
20	Guingamp	5	0	2	3	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Montpellier	5	3	2	0	+5	11
3	Nice	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Dijon	6	2	2	2	+1	8
5	Reims	6	2	2	2	-3	8
6	Angers	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Lille	6	2	1	3	-1	7
8	Lyon	5	2	1	2	-2	7
9	Nantes	6	2	1	3	-4	7
10	Strasbourg	6	1	3	2	-1	6
11	Marseille	5	2	0	3	-5	6
12	St Etienne	6	1	3	2	-5	6
13	Rennes	6	1	2	3	-3	5
14	Bordeaux	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	Nimes	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	-7	5
17	Guingamp	6	1	2	3	-7	5
18	Monaco	5	1	1	3	-2	4
19	Caen	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Amiens	5	0	1	4	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.