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Ligue 1

Referee: H Ben El Hadj

Toulouse

T U S T S

1–2

Full-time

Strasbourg

S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Strasbourg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 18/19 matches

Win Ø 30%

28%

32%

Points per game

1,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

50%

47%

Both score Ø 62%

56%

68%

Average goals

2,4

2,8

Scored

0,9

1,6

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%

17 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 4

0 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Toulouse 14. · Strasbourg 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	18	16	2	0	+43	50
2	Lille	20	11	4	5	+12	37
3	Lyon	19	9	6	4	+9	33
4	St Etienne	19	9	6	4	+7	33
5	Montpellier	18	8	6	4	+10	30
6	Rennes	19	8	5	6	+3	29
7	Nice	19	8	5	6	-3	29
8	Marseille	17	8	3	6	+4	27
9	Reims	20	6	9	5	-3	27
10	Strasbourg	19	6	8	5	+7	26
11	Nantes	19	6	5	8	+0	23
12	Nimes	18	6	5	7	-2	23
13	Bordeaux	18	5	7	6	-1	22
14	Toulouse	18	5	6	7	-10	21
15	Angers	18	4	8	6	-2	20
16	Caen	20	3	9	8	-8	18
17	Amiens	20	5	3	12	-17	18
18	Dijon	18	4	4	10	-15	16
19	Monaco	18	3	4	11	-13	13
20	Guingamp	19	2	5	12	-21	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	9	0	0	+25	27
2	St Etienne	9	7	2	0	+13	23
3	Lille	10	6	3	1	+11	21
4	Lyon	11	6	3	2	+9	21
5	Marseille	8	5	2	1	+11	17
6	Montpellier	10	4	4	2	+7	16
7	Strasbourg	10	4	4	2	+6	16
8	Bordeaux	10	4	4	2	+3	16
9	Reims	10	4	4	2	+2	16
10	Nantes	10	4	3	3	+8	15
11	Rennes	9	4	2	3	+2	14
12	Nice	10	4	2	4	-4	14
13	Angers	9	2	4	3	-1	10
14	Caen	10	2	4	4	-3	10
15	Amiens	10	3	1	6	-5	10
16	Nimes	8	2	3	3	+1	9
17	Toulouse	8	2	3	3	-3	9
18	Dijon	8	2	1	5	-9	7
19	Guingamp	9	0	3	6	-9	3
20	Monaco	9	0	3	6	-10	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	7	2	0	+18	23
2	Lille	10	5	1	4	+1	16
3	Rennes	10	4	3	3	+1	15
4	Nice	9	4	3	2	+1	15
5	Montpellier	8	4	2	2	+3	14
6	Nimes	10	4	2	4	-3	14
7	Lyon	8	3	3	2	+0	12
8	Toulouse	10	3	3	4	-7	12
9	Reims	10	2	5	3	-5	11
10	Strasbourg	9	2	4	3	+1	10
11	Angers	9	2	4	3	-1	10
12	Monaco	9	3	1	5	-3	10
13	St Etienne	10	2	4	4	-6	10
14	Marseille	9	3	1	5	-7	10
15	Dijon	10	2	3	5	-6	9
16	Caen	10	1	5	4	-5	8
17	Nantes	9	2	2	5	-8	8
18	Guingamp	10	2	2	6	-12	8
19	Amiens	10	2	2	6	-12	8
20	Bordeaux	8	1	3	4	-4	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.