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Ligue 2
Troyes
U T S S S
2–1
Full-time
Ajaccio
U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Ajaccio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,3
1,8
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 56%
61%
50%
Points per game
1,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
39%
28%
Both score Ø 39%
39%
39%
Average goals
1,9
1,9
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

14 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 3
8 Corners 7
8 Free kicks against 22
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Troyes 3. · Ajaccio 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lens 19 12 4 3 +15 40
2 Lorient 19 12 3 4 +15 39
3 Troyes 18 11 2 5 +5 35
4 Ajaccio 18 9 6 3 +9 33
5 Valenciennes 19 8 6 5 +4 30
6 Clermont 19 8 6 5 +2 30
7 Le Havre 19 7 8 4 +9 29
8 Guingamp 19 7 6 6 +8 27
9 Sochaux 19 7 6 6 +5 27
10 Nancy 19 5 12 2 +4 27
11 Grenoble 19 5 11 3 +2 26
12 Rodez 19 6 3 10 -3 21
13 Caen 19 4 9 6 -4 21
14 Auxerre 19 4 8 7 +0 20
15 Le Mans 19 6 2 11 -9 20
16 Chambly 19 5 5 9 -10 20
17 Chateauroux 19 4 6 9 -13 18
18 Niort 19 4 5 10 -8 17
19 Paris FC 19 4 3 12 -18 15
20 Orleans 19 2 7 10 -13 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,14
U
2,91
B
3,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,68
U2,5
1,45
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.