Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sochaux
Toulouse
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Toulouse
|
33 | 21 | 9 | 3 | +48 | 72 |
| 2 |
Ajaccio
|
33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | +17 | 64 |
| 3 |
Auxerre
|
33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | +18 | 61 |
| 4 |
Paris FC
|
33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | +16 | 60 |
| 5 |
Sochaux
|
33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | +12 | 60 |
| 6 |
Le Havre
|
33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | -1 | 47 |
| 7 |
Caen
|
33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | +11 | 46 |
| 8 |
Guingamp
|
33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | -3 | 45 |
| 9 |
Niort
|
33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | +2 | 44 |
| 10 |
Amiens
|
33 | 9 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 42 |
| 11 |
Dijon
|
33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 |
Pau FC
|
33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | -6 | 42 |
| 13 |
Nimes
|
33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 40 |
| 14 |
Bastia
|
33 | 8 | 15 | 10 | +1 | 39 |
| 15 |
Valenciennes
|
33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | -12 | 36 |
| 16 |
Grenoble
|
33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | -14 | 36 |
| 17 |
Quevilly Rouen
|
33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | -18 | 34 |
| 18 |
Rodez
|
33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | -13 | 33 |
| 19 |
Dunkerque
|
33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -19 | 30 |
| 20 |
Nancy
|
33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -32 | 23 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Nimes
Sochaux
Sochaux
Nancy
Quevilly Rouen
Sochaux
Sochaux
Rodez
Niort
Sochaux
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.