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Ligue 1

Referee: W Delajod

Toulouse

S U U T U

1–1

Full-time

Nice

S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Nice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 38%

38%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 51%

63%

38%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,1

0,8

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

40% Possession 60%

13 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 2

6 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Toulouse 7. · Nice 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	8	0	0	+21	24
2	Lille	8	5	1	2	+8	16
3	Montpellier	8	4	3	1	+5	15
4	St Etienne	8	4	3	1	+1	15
5	Lyon	8	4	2	2	+7	14
6	Marseille	8	4	1	3	+3	13
7	Toulouse	8	3	3	2	-2	12
8	Strasbourg	8	3	2	3	+3	11
9	Bordeaux	8	3	2	3	-1	11
10	Caen	8	2	4	2	-1	10
11	Angers	8	3	1	4	-1	10
12	Dijon	8	3	1	4	-3	10
13	Nice	8	3	1	4	-6	10
14	Nimes	8	2	3	3	-3	9
15	Reims	8	2	3	3	-5	9
16	Rennes	8	2	2	4	-3	8
17	Amiens	8	2	1	5	-3	7
18	Monaco	8	1	3	4	-3	6
19	Nantes	8	1	3	4	-5	6
20	Guingamp	8	1	1	6	-12	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+12	12
2	Lille	4	4	0	0	+9	12
3	Marseille	4	3	1	0	+9	10
4	Lyon	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	St Etienne	4	3	1	0	+4	10
6	Montpellier	5	2	2	1	+3	8
7	Strasbourg	4	2	1	1	+4	7
8	Toulouse	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Rennes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Bordeaux	4	2	1	1	+0	7
11	Amiens	4	2	0	2	+2	6
12	Caen	4	1	3	0	+1	6
13	Reims	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Nimes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Angers	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Dijon	4	1	0	3	-5	3
17	Nice	4	1	0	3	-7	3
18	Monaco	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Nantes	4	0	2	2	-3	2
20	Guingamp	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Dijon	4	2	1	1	+2	7
3	Montpellier	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Nice	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Angers	4	2	0	2	+0	6
6	Nimes	5	1	2	2	-3	5
7	St Etienne	4	1	2	1	-3	5
8	Toulouse	4	1	2	1	-3	5
9	Lyon	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	Strasbourg	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Monaco	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Bordeaux	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Lille	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Nantes	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Caen	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Reims	4	1	1	2	-5	4
17	Guingamp	5	1	1	3	-7	4
18	Marseille	4	1	0	3	-6	3
19	Rennes	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	Amiens	4	0	1	3	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.