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Ligue 2

Rodez

U T T U T

1–0

Full-time

Toulouse

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rodez Toulouse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

0,3

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

0,7

2,2

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 42%

20%

63%

Points per game

1,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

26%

57%

Both score Ø 46%

37%

54%

Average goals

2,0

3,1

Scored

0,8

2,3

Conceded

1,2

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

10 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 3

8 Corners 6

10 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rodez 18. · Toulouse 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	35	22	10	3	+50	76
2	Ajaccio	36	21	8	7	+19	71
3	Auxerre	36	19	11	6	+20	68
4	Sochaux	36	19	10	7	+14	67
5	Paris FC	36	18	10	8	+16	64
6	Guingamp	36	13	13	10	+1	52
7	Le Havre	36	13	11	12	-1	50
8	Nimes	36	14	7	15	-4	49
9	Caen	36	12	11	13	+9	47
10	Dijon	36	13	7	16	-4	46
11	Niort	36	12	9	15	-2	45
12	Pau FC	36	13	6	17	-9	45
13	Amiens	36	9	17	10	+4	44
14	Bastia	36	9	16	11	+1	43
15	Grenoble	36	12	7	17	-10	43
16	Valenciennes	36	8	14	14	-15	38
17	Quevilly Rouen	36	9	10	17	-17	37
18	Rodez	35	7	13	15	-14	34
19	Dunkerque	36	8	7	21	-21	31
20	Nancy	36	5	9	22	-37	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	18	13	4	1	+37	43
2	Ajaccio	18	12	3	3	+12	39
3	Paris FC	18	10	7	1	+15	37
4	Sochaux	18	10	5	3	+8	35
5	Auxerre	18	10	4	4	+13	34
6	Pau FC	18	10	1	7	+5	31
7	Guingamp	18	8	6	4	+6	30
8	Amiens	18	7	6	5	+11	27
9	Caen	18	8	3	7	+10	27
10	Bastia	18	5	12	1	+8	27
11	Dijon	18	8	3	7	+0	27
12	Niort	18	7	5	6	+5	26
13	Grenoble	18	7	4	7	+0	25
14	Le Havre	18	6	5	7	-2	23
15	Nimes	18	6	4	8	-4	22
16	Dunkerque	18	5	6	7	-5	21
17	Quevilly Rouen	18	4	7	7	-6	19
18	Rodez	17	3	9	5	-3	18
19	Valenciennes	18	4	5	9	-10	17
20	Nancy	18	4	4	10	-16	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	18	9	7	2	+7	34
2	Toulouse	17	9	6	2	+13	33
3	Ajaccio	18	9	5	4	+7	32
4	Sochaux	18	9	5	4	+6	32
5	Paris FC	18	8	3	7	+1	27
6	Le Havre	18	7	6	5	+1	27
7	Nimes	18	8	3	7	+0	27
8	Guingamp	18	5	7	6	-5	22
9	Valenciennes	18	4	9	5	-5	21
10	Caen	18	4	8	6	-1	20
11	Dijon	18	5	4	9	-4	19
12	Niort	18	5	4	9	-7	19
13	Grenoble	18	5	3	10	-10	18
14	Quevilly Rouen	18	5	3	10	-11	18
15	Amiens	18	2	11	5	-7	17
16	Bastia	18	4	4	10	-7	16
17	Rodez	18	4	4	10	-11	16
18	Pau FC	18	3	5	10	-14	14
19	Dunkerque	18	3	1	14	-16	10
20	Nancy	18	1	5	12	-21	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.