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Ligue 1
Referee: J Brisard
Reims
T U U U S
1–1
Full-time
Lyon
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reims Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,3
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 45%
29%
61%
Points per game
1,2
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
50%
61%
Both score Ø 58%
54%
61%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

32% Possession 68%
14 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 5
2 Offside 5
11 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reims 12. · Lyon 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lille 28 18 8 2 +32 62
2 Paris SG 28 19 3 6 +45 60
3 Lyon 28 17 8 3 +31 59
4 Monaco 28 17 4 7 +18 55
5 Lens 28 12 8 8 +3 44
6 Marseille 28 11 9 8 +3 42
7 Metz 28 11 8 9 +6 41
8 Montpellier 28 11 7 10 -3 40
9 Angers 28 11 6 11 -9 39
10 Rennes 28 10 8 10 +1 38
11 Nice 28 10 5 13 -5 35
12 Reims 28 8 10 10 -1 34
13 Brest 28 10 4 14 -8 34
14 Strasbourg 28 9 6 13 -5 33
15 Bordeaux 28 9 6 13 -6 33
16 St Etienne 28 7 9 12 -13 30
17 Lorient 28 7 6 15 -18 27
18 Nimes 28 7 4 17 -27 25
19 Nantes 28 4 12 12 -16 24
20 Dijon 28 2 9 17 -28 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reims Lyon
30′
🟨 Memphis Depay
1–0 M. Cafaro
T. Foket
33′
Mathieu Cafaro 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 T. Kadewere
↦ M. Cherki
46′
🔁 M. Caqueret
↦ H. Aouar
46′
🔁 M. Cornet
↦ M. De Sciglio
Yunis Abdelhamid 🟨
60′
E. Toure 🔁
↦ V. Berisha
67′
67′
🔁 I. Slimani
↦ Lucas Paquetá
Marshall Munetsi 🟨
68′
F. Doucouré 🔁
↦ M. Cafaro
74′
A. Zeneli 🔁
↦ B. Dia
74′
92′
T. Kadewere 1–1
M. Depay
94′
🔁 M. Bard
↦ M. Cornet
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Reims

4-2-3-1
1 P. Rajković G
5 Y. Abdelhamid D
32 T. Foket D
2 W. Faes D
3 G. Konan D
14 V. Berisha M
7 X. Chavalerin M
24 M. Cafaro M
15 M. Munetsi M
11 B. Dia F
21 N. Mbuku M
Bench (9)
27 E. Toure
33 F. Doucouré
10 A. Zeneli
16 Y. Diouf
25 M. Doumbia
29 D. Maresic
8 D. Kutesa
9 K. Sierhuis
28 T. De Smet

Coach: D. Guion

Lyon

4-3-3
1 Anthony Lopes G
6 Marcelo D
22 M. De Sciglio D
14 L. Dubois D
5 J. Denayer D
23 Thiago Mendes M
8 H. Aouar M
12 Lucas Paquetá M
10 M. Depay F
7 K. Toko Ekambi F
18 M. Cherki F
Bench (9)
11 T. Kadewere
25 M. Caqueret
27 M. Cornet
20 I. Slimani
26 M. Bard
39 Bruno Guimarães
30 J. Pollersbeck
2 S. Diomande
3 D. Benlamri

Coach: R. Garcia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,94
U ✓
4,57
B
1,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,74
U2,5 ✓
2,10
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Brisard · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.