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Ligue 1
Referee: F Batta
Rennes
U S T U U
0–2
Full-time
St Etienne
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes St Etienne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 23/24 matches
Win Ø 34%
43%
25%
Points per game
1,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
52%
42%
Both score Ø 52%
57%
46%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

72% Possession 28%
13 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 16
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rennes 5. · St Etienne 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 25 17 3 5 +42 54
2 Lille 24 16 6 2 +27 54
3 Lyon 25 15 7 3 +29 52
4 Monaco 25 15 4 6 +15 49
5 Rennes 23 10 8 5 +7 38
6 Lens 25 10 7 8 +1 37
7 Metz 24 9 8 7 +6 35
8 Montpellier 25 10 5 10 -4 35
9 Angers 24 10 4 10 -8 34
10 Marseille 22 9 6 7 +3 33
11 Bordeaux 24 9 5 10 -2 32
12 Brest 24 9 3 12 -7 30
13 Reims 25 7 8 10 -2 29
14 Nice 24 8 5 11 -5 29
15 St Etienne 24 6 8 10 -13 26
16 Strasbourg 24 7 4 13 -7 25
17 Lorient 24 6 5 13 -15 23
18 Nantes 24 3 10 11 -17 19
19 Dijon 24 2 9 13 -19 15
20 Nimes 23 4 3 16 -31 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes St Etienne
27′
D. Bouanga 0–1
Y. Neyou Noupa
33′
🟨 Mathieu Debuchy
Jeremy Doku 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–1
Damien Da Silva 🟨
48′
Sehrou Guirassy 🟨
57′
57′
🔁 A. Nordin
↦ A. Aouchiche
S. Nzonzi 🔁
↦ J. Martin
58′
A. Hunou 🔁
↦ M. Terrier
58′
Y. Gboho 🔁
↦ E. Camavinga
58′
Nayef Aguerd 🟨
63′
68′
🔁 C. Abi
↦ W. Khazri
68′
🔁 Z. Youssouf
↦ Y. Neyou Noupa
71′
A. Nordin 0–2
Z. Youssouf
Hamari Traore 🟨
77′
F. Maouassa 🔁
↦ A. Truffert
77′
80′
🟨 Charles Abi
90′
🔁 A. Moueffek
↦ D. Bouanga
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Rennes

4-3-3
16 A. Gomis G
3 D. Da Silva D
27 H. Traoré D
6 N. Aguerd D
31 A. Truffert D
28 J. Martin M
14 B. Bourigeaud M
10 E. Camavinga M
9 S. Guirassy F
7 M. Terrier F
18 J. Doku F
Bench (9)
15 S. Nzonzi
23 A. Hunou
19 Y. Gboho
17 F. Maouassa
5 Dalbert Henrique
4 G. Nyamsi
1 R. Salin
34 B. Soppy
12 J. Lea Siliki

Coach: J. Stéphan

St Etienne

4-5-1
30 J. Moulin G
26 M. Debuchy D
13 M. Trauco D
2 H. Moukoudi D
6 P. Cissé D
8 M. Camara M
19 Y. Neyou Noupa M
17 A. Aouchiche M
33 L. Gourna-Douath M
10 W. Khazri F
20 D. Bouanga M
Bench (9)
18 A. Nordin
9 C. Abi
28 Z. Youssouf
34 A. Moueffek
1 S. Bajic
22 K. Monnet-Paquet
35 S. Sow
5 T. Kolodziejczak
32 M. Rivera

Coach: C. Puel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,93
U
3,42
B ✓
4,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,18
U2,5 ✓
1,69
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Batta · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.