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Ligue 1
Referee: J Miguelgorry
Nice
U T S T T
3–0
Full-time
Angers
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Angers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 22/23 matches
Win Ø 38%
32%
43%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
55%
52%
Both score Ø 51%
50%
52%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

51% Possession 49%
11 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 9
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nice 14. · Angers 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lyon 24 15 7 2 +30 52
2 Lille 23 15 6 2 +25 51
3 Paris SG 23 15 3 5 +39 48
4 Monaco 23 14 3 6 +14 45
5 Rennes 23 10 8 5 +7 38
6 Lens 24 10 6 8 +1 36
7 Metz 23 9 8 6 +7 35
8 Angers 23 10 4 9 -5 34
9 Marseille 21 9 6 6 +5 33
10 Bordeaux 24 9 5 10 -2 32
11 Brest 24 9 3 12 -7 30
12 Montpellier 23 8 5 10 -7 29
13 Reims 24 7 7 10 -2 28
14 Nice 22 7 5 10 -7 26
15 Strasbourg 24 7 4 13 -7 25
16 St Etienne 23 5 8 10 -14 23
17 Lorient 23 6 4 13 -15 22
18 Nantes 23 3 10 10 -15 19
19 Dijon 23 2 9 12 -17 15
20 Nimes 22 4 3 15 -30 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nice Angers
0–1 S. Doumbia
own goal
9′
Jean-Clair Todibo 🟨
15′
1–1 M. Maolida
P. Lees Melou
17′
33′
🟨 Ibrahim Amadou
Amine Gouiri 🟨
36′
Half-time 1–1
62′
🔁 S. Thioub
↦ A. Fulgini
62′
🔁 L. Coulibaly
↦ I. Amadou
62′
🔁 P. Capelle
↦ S. Boufal
M. Schneiderlin 🔁
↦ Rony Lopes
65′
D. Ndoye 🔁
↦ P. Lees Melou
65′
75′
🔁 M. Cho
↦ L. Diony
75′
🔁 Mathias Lage
↦ J. Cabot
K. Thuram-Ulien 🔁
↦ H. Boudaoui
77′
2–1 A. Gouiri
M. Maolida
83′
Robson Bambu 🔁
↦ J. Todibo
87′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Nice

4-3-3
40 W. Benítez G
13 H. Kamara D
24 A. Pelmard D
25 J. Todibo D
18 W. Saliba D
8 P. Lees Melou M
28 H. Boudaoui M
22 Rony Lopes F
10 A. Claude Maurice M
7 M. Maolida F
11 A. Gouiri F
Bench (8)
6 M. Schneiderlin
14 D. Ndoye
19 K. Thuram-Ulien
3 Robson Bambu
27 A. Trouillet
30 Y. Cardinale
5 F. Daniliuc
2 S. N'Soki

Coach: A. Ursea

Angers

4-2-3-1
1 P. Bernardoni G
24 R. Thomas D
8 I. Traoré D
29 V. Manceau D
3 S. Doumbia D
5 T. Mangani M
18 I. Amadou M
13 S. Boufal M
11 J. Cabot M
10 A. Fulgini M
9 L. Diony F
Bench (9)
22 S. Thioub
14 L. Coulibaly
15 P. Capelle
21 M. Cho
27 Mathias Lage
16 L. Butelle
28 F. El Melali
25 A. Bamba
23 A. Bobichon

Coach: S. Moulin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,73
U
3,09
B
2,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,17
U2,5
1,69
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Miguelgorry · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.