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Ligue 1

Referee: R Buquet

St Etienne

T T T S U

1–0

Full-time

Metz

U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Metz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 31%

22%

39%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

43%

22%

Both score Ø 48%

48%

Average goals

2,5

2,1

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,6

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

12 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 0

4 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Etienne 16. · Metz 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	24	15	7	2	+30	52
2	Lille	23	15	6	2	+25	51
3	Paris SG	23	15	3	5	+39	48
4	Monaco	23	14	3	6	+14	45
5	Rennes	23	10	8	5	+7	38
6	Lens	24	10	6	8	+1	36
7	Metz	23	9	8	6	+7	35
8	Angers	23	10	4	9	-5	34
9	Marseille	21	9	6	6	+5	33
10	Bordeaux	24	9	5	10	-2	32
11	Brest	24	9	3	12	-7	30
12	Montpellier	23	8	5	10	-7	29
13	Reims	24	7	7	10	-2	28
14	Nice	22	7	5	10	-7	26
15	Strasbourg	24	7	4	13	-7	25
16	St Etienne	23	5	8	10	-14	23
17	Lorient	23	6	4	13	-15	22
18	Nantes	23	3	10	10	-15	19
19	Dijon	23	2	9	12	-17	15
20	Nimes	22	4	3	15	-30	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	12	9	1	2	+27	28
2	Lyon	12	8	3	1	+17	27
3	Lille	12	8	3	1	+14	27
4	Monaco	12	8	3	1	+13	27
5	Brest	12	7	1	4	+3	22
6	Metz	12	5	4	3	+4	19
7	Rennes	12	5	3	4	+0	18
8	Bordeaux	12	5	3	4	+0	18
9	Lens	12	4	4	4	+0	16
10	Angers	11	5	1	5	-2	16
11	Lorient	12	5	1	6	-3	16
12	Marseille	10	4	3	3	+3	15
13	Reims	11	4	3	4	-1	15
14	Montpellier	12	4	1	7	-5	13
15	Strasbourg	12	3	3	6	-3	12
16	Nantes	11	2	6	3	-5	12
17	St Etienne	11	2	5	4	-7	11
18	Nice	11	2	2	7	-12	8
19	Dijon	12	0	6	6	-8	6
20	Nimes	10	1	1	8	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	12	7	4	1	+13	25
2	Lille	11	7	3	1	+11	24
3	Paris SG	11	6	2	3	+12	20
4	Rennes	11	5	5	1	+7	20
5	Lens	12	6	2	4	+1	20
6	Nice	11	5	3	3	+5	18
7	Marseille	11	5	3	3	+2	18
8	Monaco	11	6	0	5	+1	18
9	Angers	12	5	3	4	-3	18
10	Metz	11	4	4	3	+3	16
11	Montpellier	11	4	4	3	-2	16
12	Bordeaux	12	4	2	6	-2	14
13	Reims	13	3	4	6	-1	13
14	Strasbourg	12	4	1	7	-4	13
15	St Etienne	12	3	3	6	-7	12
16	Nimes	12	3	2	7	-16	11
17	Dijon	11	2	3	6	-9	9
18	Brest	12	2	2	8	-10	8
19	Nantes	12	1	4	7	-10	7
20	Lorient	11	1	3	7	-12	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.