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Ligue 1

Referee: J Miguelgorry

Metz

S T U U S

2–0

Full-time

Nantes

U T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Nantes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,3

2,3

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

0,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 25%

35%

15%

Points per game

1,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

20%

50%

Both score Ø 55%

45%

65%

Average goals

2,0

2,6

Scored

1,1

1,0

Conceded

0,9

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

14 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 0

6 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 6

1 Offside 4

15 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Metz 10. · Nantes 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	21	14	3	4	+37	45
2	Lille	20	12	6	2	+20	42
3	Lyon	20	11	7	2	+20	40
4	Monaco	21	12	3	6	+12	39
5	Rennes	20	10	6	4	+8	36
6	Marseille	20	9	5	6	+5	32
7	Bordeaux	21	9	5	7	+3	32
8	Lens	21	9	4	8	+0	31
9	Angers	21	9	3	9	-7	30
10	Metz	20	7	7	6	+3	28
11	Montpellier	21	8	4	9	-6	28
12	Brest	20	8	2	10	-5	26
13	Nice	20	7	5	8	-5	26
14	Strasbourg	20	7	2	11	-3	23
15	Reims	20	5	6	9	-3	21
16	St Etienne	20	4	7	9	-10	19
17	Nantes	20	3	9	8	-12	18
18	Nimes	20	4	3	13	-25	15
19	Dijon	19	2	8	9	-14	14
20	Lorient	19	3	3	13	-18	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	11	8	1	2	+24	25
2	Lille	11	7	3	1	+13	24
3	Monaco	11	7	3	1	+12	24
4	Lyon	10	6	3	1	+13	21
5	Brest	10	6	1	3	+4	19
6	Bordeaux	11	5	3	3	+3	18
7	Rennes	10	5	2	3	+1	17
8	Marseille	10	4	3	3	+3	15
9	Metz	10	4	3	3	+2	15
10	Lens	10	4	2	4	+0	14
11	Montpellier	11	4	1	6	-4	13
12	Angers	10	4	1	5	-4	13
13	Nantes	10	2	6	2	-4	12
14	Strasbourg	10	3	2	5	-2	11
15	Reims	9	3	2	4	-2	11
16	St Etienne	9	2	4	3	-2	10
17	Nice	10	2	2	6	-11	8
18	Lorient	9	2	1	6	-6	7
19	Dijon	10	0	5	5	-7	5
20	Nimes	10	1	1	8	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	6	2	2	+13	20
2	Lyon	10	5	4	1	+7	19
3	Rennes	10	5	4	1	+7	19
4	Lille	9	5	3	1	+7	18
5	Nice	10	5	3	2	+6	18
6	Marseille	10	5	2	3	+2	17
7	Lens	11	5	2	4	+0	17
8	Angers	11	5	2	4	-3	17
9	Monaco	10	5	0	5	+0	15
10	Montpellier	10	4	3	3	-2	15
11	Bordeaux	10	4	2	4	+0	14
12	Metz	10	3	4	3	+1	13
13	Strasbourg	10	4	0	6	-1	12
14	Nimes	10	3	2	5	-11	11
15	Reims	11	2	4	5	-1	10
16	Dijon	9	2	3	4	-7	9
17	St Etienne	11	2	3	6	-8	9
18	Brest	10	2	1	7	-9	7
19	Nantes	10	1	3	6	-8	6
20	Lorient	10	1	2	7	-12	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.