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Ligue 1

Referee: W Delajod

Paris SG

U S U S S

4–0

Full-time

Montpellier

U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Montpellier

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

2,0

3,7

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

0,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-1,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 53%

65%

40%

Points per game

2,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

55%

65%

Both score Ø 48%

25%

70%

Average goals

2,8

3,4

Scored

2,2

1,7

Conceded

0,6

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

72% Possession 28%

26 Shots 5

8 Shots on target 1

7 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 1

3 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Paris SG 1. · Montpellier 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	20	13	3	4	+33	42
2	Lille	20	12	6	2	+20	42
3	Lyon	20	11	7	2	+20	40
4	Monaco	20	11	3	6	+10	36
5	Rennes	20	10	6	4	+8	36
6	Marseille	19	9	5	5	+7	32
7	Lens	20	9	4	7	+1	31
8	Angers	20	9	3	8	-6	30
9	Bordeaux	20	8	5	7	+2	29
10	Metz	20	7	7	6	+3	28
11	Montpellier	20	8	4	8	-2	28
12	Brest	20	8	2	10	-5	26
13	Strasbourg	20	7	2	11	-3	23
14	Nice	19	6	5	8	-6	23
15	Reims	20	5	6	9	-3	21
16	St Etienne	20	4	7	9	-10	19
17	Nantes	20	3	9	8	-12	18
18	Nimes	20	4	3	13	-25	15
19	Dijon	19	2	8	9	-14	14
20	Lorient	19	3	3	13	-18	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	11	7	3	1	+13	24
2	Paris SG	10	7	1	2	+20	22
3	Lyon	10	6	3	1	+13	21
4	Monaco	10	6	3	1	+10	21
5	Brest	10	6	1	3	+4	19
6	Rennes	10	5	2	3	+1	17
7	Marseille	10	4	3	3	+3	15
8	Metz	10	4	3	3	+2	15
9	Bordeaux	10	4	3	3	+2	15
10	Lens	9	4	2	3	+1	14
11	Montpellier	11	4	1	6	-4	13
12	Angers	10	4	1	5	-4	13
13	Nantes	10	2	6	2	-4	12
14	Strasbourg	10	3	2	5	-2	11
15	Reims	9	3	2	4	-2	11
16	St Etienne	9	2	4	3	-2	10
17	Nice	10	2	2	6	-11	8
18	Lorient	9	2	1	6	-6	7
19	Dijon	10	0	5	5	-7	5
20	Nimes	10	1	1	8	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	6	2	2	+13	20
2	Lyon	10	5	4	1	+7	19
3	Rennes	10	5	4	1	+7	19
4	Lille	9	5	3	1	+7	18
5	Marseille	9	5	2	2	+4	17
6	Lens	11	5	2	4	+0	17
7	Angers	10	5	2	3	-2	17
8	Nice	9	4	3	2	+5	15
9	Montpellier	9	4	3	2	+2	15
10	Monaco	10	5	0	5	+0	15
11	Bordeaux	10	4	2	4	+0	14
12	Metz	10	3	4	3	+1	13
13	Strasbourg	10	4	0	6	-1	12
14	Nimes	10	3	2	5	-11	11
15	Reims	11	2	4	5	-1	10
16	Dijon	9	2	3	4	-7	9
17	St Etienne	11	2	3	6	-8	9
18	Brest	10	2	1	7	-9	7
19	Nantes	10	1	3	6	-8	6
20	Lorient	10	1	2	7	-12	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.