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Ligue 1
Referee: C Turpin
Lens
T S T S T
0–1
Full-time
Strasbourg
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lens Strasbourg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 17/18 matches
Win Ø 38%
47%
28%
Points per game
1,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
59%
61%
Both score Ø 49%
59%
39%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,6
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%
11 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lens 8. · Strasbourg 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lyon 18 11 6 1 +21 39
2 Paris SG 18 11 3 4 +29 36
3 Lille 18 10 6 2 +18 36
4 Rennes 18 9 5 4 +7 32
5 Marseille 16 9 4 3 +9 31
6 Monaco 18 9 3 6 +6 30
7 Angers 18 9 3 6 -2 30
8 Lens 17 8 3 6 +1 27
9 Montpellier 18 8 3 7 -1 27
10 Brest 18 8 2 8 -1 26
11 Metz 18 6 6 6 +2 24
12 Bordeaux 18 6 5 7 -2 23
13 Nice 17 6 4 7 -3 22
14 St Etienne 18 4 7 7 -7 19
15 Reims 18 4 6 8 -4 18
16 Strasbourg 18 5 2 11 -5 17
17 Nantes 18 3 7 8 -12 16
18 Dijon 18 2 7 9 -14 13
19 Lorient 18 3 3 12 -17 12
20 Nimes 18 3 3 12 -25 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lens Strasbourg
21′
H. Diallo 0–1
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 S. Mitrović
↦ M. Simakan
Yannick Cahuzac 🟨
50′
50′
🟨 Jean-Ricner Bellegarde
72′
🔁 L. Carole
↦ J. Bellegarde
C. Doucouré 🔁
↦ L. Badé
73′
I. Ganago 🔁
↦ A. Muinga
73′
J. Clauss 🔁
↦ F. Sotoca
80′
S. Banza 🔁
↦ Y. Cahuzac
80′
C. Jean 🔁
↦ C. Michelin
80′
80′
🔁 A. Waris
↦ H. Diallo
92′
🔁 D. Liénard
↦ A. Thomasson
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Lens

3-4-1-2
16 J. Leca G
21 M. Haïdara D
24 J. Gradit D
3 I. Sylla M
13 C. Michelin M
4 L. Badé D
18 Y. Cahuzac M
10 G. Kakuta F
8 S. Fofana M
7 F. Sotoca F
29 A. Muinga F
Bench (9)
28 C. Doucouré
9 I. Ganago
11 J. Clauss
23 S. Banza
25 C. Jean
33 I. Boura
15 Steven Fortès
34 David Costa
30 W. Fariñez

Coach: F. Haise

Strasbourg

4-2-3-1
16 E. Kawashima G
10 K. Lala D
24 A. Djiku D
19 A. Caci D
2 M. Simakan D
6 J. Aholou M
26 A. Thomasson M
27 I. Sissoko M
17 J. Bellegarde M
25 L. Ajorque F
28 H. Diallo M
Bench (9)
13 S. Mitrović
23 L. Carole
8 A. Waris
11 D. Liénard
18 M. Siby
20 K. Zohi
40 A. Pierre
14 S. Prcić
21 M. Chahiri

Coach: T. Laurey

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,31
U
3,37
B ✓
3,12
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,99
U2,5 ✓
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.