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Ligue 1

Referee: H Ben El Hadj

Montpellier

T S S S T

1–1

Full-time

Metz

U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Metz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 34%

41%

27%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

55%

36%

Both score Ø 48%

50%

45%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

12 Shots 18

7 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 3

7 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 8

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Montpellier 5. · Metz 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	23	19	1	3	+44	58
2	Marseille	22	12	7	3	+9	43
3	Rennes	23	12	4	7	+7	40
4	Lille	23	11	4	8	+2	37
5	Montpellier	22	9	6	7	+4	33
6	Lyon	22	9	5	8	+14	32
7	Reims	22	8	8	6	+6	32
8	Nice	22	9	5	8	+2	32
9	Monaco	23	9	5	9	-1	32
10	Nantes	23	10	2	11	-2	32
11	Bordeaux	22	8	6	8	+6	30
12	Strasbourg	22	9	3	10	-1	30
13	Angers	23	8	6	9	-6	30
14	Brest	22	7	7	8	-2	28
15	St Etienne	22	8	4	10	-10	28
16	Metz	22	6	8	8	-7	26
17	Dijon	22	6	6	10	-5	24
18	Amiens	22	4	7	11	-17	19
19	Nimes	22	4	6	12	-17	18
20	Toulouse	22	3	4	15	-26	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	12	9	2	1	+12	29
2	Paris SG	11	9	1	1	+26	28
3	Montpellier	11	8	1	2	+12	25
4	Nice	12	7	3	2	+9	24
5	Marseille	11	7	3	1	+8	24
6	Monaco	12	7	1	4	+6	22
7	Rennes	11	7	1	3	+5	22
8	Angers	12	6	3	3	+6	21
9	Brest	11	5	5	1	+10	20
10	Strasbourg	11	6	2	3	+5	20
11	Dijon	11	5	4	2	+4	19
12	Nantes	12	6	1	5	+1	19
13	Metz	11	4	4	3	+3	16
14	St Etienne	11	4	4	3	-1	16
15	Bordeaux	11	4	3	4	+7	15
16	Reims	11	3	6	2	+3	15
17	Lyon	10	4	2	4	+8	14
18	Nimes	11	4	2	5	+0	14
19	Amiens	11	3	4	4	-4	13
20	Toulouse	10	3	0	7	-8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	12	10	0	2	+18	30
2	Marseille	11	5	4	2	+1	19
3	Lyon	12	5	3	4	+6	18
4	Rennes	12	5	3	4	+2	18
5	Reims	11	5	2	4	+3	17
6	Bordeaux	11	4	3	4	-1	15
7	Nantes	11	4	1	6	-3	13
8	St Etienne	11	4	0	7	-9	12
9	Strasbourg	11	3	1	7	-6	10
10	Monaco	11	2	4	5	-7	10
11	Metz	11	2	4	5	-10	10
12	Angers	11	2	3	6	-12	9
13	Nice	10	2	2	6	-7	8
14	Montpellier	11	1	5	5	-8	8
15	Lille	11	2	2	7	-10	8
16	Brest	11	2	2	7	-12	8
17	Amiens	11	1	3	7	-13	6
18	Dijon	11	1	2	8	-9	5
19	Nimes	11	0	4	7	-17	4
20	Toulouse	12	0	4	8	-18	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.