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Ligue 1

Referee: C Turpin

Nimes

S S S S T

2–3

Full-time

Marseille

U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nimes Marseille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,8

1,7

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 43%

27%

58%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

50%

42%

Both score Ø 46%

42%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,4

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

48% Possession 52%

16 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 9

1 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nimes 18. · Marseille 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	26	21	2	3	+47	65
2	Marseille	26	15	7	4	+11	52
3	Rennes	26	13	5	8	+7	44
4	Lille	26	13	4	9	+6	43
5	Monaco	26	11	6	9	+1	39
6	Strasbourg	26	11	5	10	+3	38
7	Lyon	26	10	7	9	+14	37
8	Reims	26	9	10	7	+4	37
9	Montpellier	26	10	7	9	+3	37
10	Nice	26	10	7	9	+2	37
11	Nantes	26	11	4	11	+0	37
12	Bordeaux	26	9	8	9	+6	35
13	Brest	26	8	10	8	-1	34
14	Angers	26	9	6	11	-8	33
15	St Etienne	26	8	5	13	-14	29
16	Metz	26	6	10	10	-10	28
17	Dijon	26	6	9	11	-7	27
18	Nimes	26	7	6	13	-13	27
19	Amiens	26	4	10	12	-18	22
20	Toulouse	26	3	4	19	-33	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	11	1	1	+29	34
2	Lille	14	10	2	2	+14	32
3	Montpellier	13	9	2	2	+13	29
4	Marseille	13	8	3	2	+7	27
5	Rennes	13	8	2	3	+6	26
6	Monaco	13	8	1	4	+7	25
7	Nice	14	7	4	3	+7	25
8	Brest	13	6	6	1	+11	24
9	Strasbourg	13	7	3	3	+8	24
10	Angers	14	7	3	4	+5	24
11	Dijon	13	5	6	2	+4	21
12	Nimes	13	6	2	5	+3	20
13	Nantes	13	6	2	5	+1	20
14	Reims	13	4	7	2	+4	19
15	St Etienne	13	4	5	4	-3	17
16	Lyon	12	4	4	4	+8	16
17	Bordeaux	12	4	4	4	+7	16
18	Metz	13	4	4	5	+0	16
19	Amiens	13	3	5	5	-5	14
20	Toulouse	12	3	0	9	-11	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	10	1	2	+18	31
2	Marseille	13	7	4	2	+4	25
3	Lyon	14	6	3	5	+6	21
4	Bordeaux	14	5	4	5	-1	19
5	Rennes	13	5	3	5	+1	18
6	Reims	13	5	3	5	+0	18
7	Nantes	13	5	2	6	-1	17
8	Strasbourg	13	4	2	7	-5	14
9	Monaco	13	3	5	5	-6	14
10	Nice	12	3	3	6	-5	12
11	Metz	13	2	6	5	-10	12
12	St Etienne	13	4	0	9	-11	12
13	Lille	12	3	2	7	-8	11
14	Brest	13	2	4	7	-12	10
15	Angers	12	2	3	7	-13	9
16	Montpellier	13	1	5	7	-10	8
17	Amiens	13	1	5	7	-13	8
18	Nimes	13	1	4	8	-16	7
19	Dijon	13	1	3	9	-11	6
20	Toulouse	14	0	4	10	-22	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.