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Ligue 1

Referee: J Pignard

Brest

U U T S S

2–0

Full-time

Dijon

T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Dijon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,2

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 25%

30%

20%

Points per game

1,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

40%

30%

Both score Ø 40%

50%

30%

Average goals

2,4

1,5

Scored

1,1

0,5

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%

15 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brest 10. · Dijon 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	8	0	2	+16	24
2	Nantes	11	6	1	4	+2	19
3	Lille	11	5	3	3	+6	18
4	Reims	10	5	2	3	+5	17
5	Marseille	10	4	4	2	+1	16
6	Angers	10	5	1	4	+0	16
7	Bordeaux	11	4	3	4	+1	15
8	Monaco	11	4	3	4	-2	15
9	Montpellier	10	4	2	4	+1	14
10	Brest	10	3	5	2	-2	14
11	St Etienne	10	4	2	4	-4	14
12	Nice	10	4	1	5	-4	13
13	Rennes	10	3	3	4	+0	12
14	Amiens	10	3	3	4	-2	12
15	Toulouse	10	3	3	4	-5	12
16	Metz	10	3	2	5	-5	11
17	Lyon	10	2	4	4	+5	10
18	Nimes	10	2	4	4	-2	10
19	Dijon	10	2	3	5	-5	9
20	Strasbourg	10	2	3	5	-6	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	6	5	1	0	+10	16
2	Angers	6	4	1	1	+9	13
3	Nantes	6	4	1	1	+3	13
4	Paris SG	5	4	0	1	+10	12
5	Montpellier	5	4	0	1	+4	12
6	Monaco	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	Brest	5	2	3	0	+3	9
8	Toulouse	5	3	0	2	+0	9
9	Reims	5	2	2	1	+2	8
10	Marseille	5	2	2	1	+1	8
11	Strasbourg	5	2	2	1	+0	8
12	Nimes	5	2	1	2	+2	7
13	Metz	5	2	1	2	+1	7
14	Amiens	5	2	1	2	+0	7
15	Nice	5	2	1	2	-2	7
16	Lyon	5	1	2	2	+4	5
17	Bordeaux	5	1	2	2	+0	5
18	St Etienne	4	1	2	1	+0	5
19	Dijon	5	1	2	2	-2	5
20	Rennes	4	1	1	2	-1	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	4	0	1	+6	12
2	Bordeaux	6	3	1	2	+1	10
3	Reims	5	3	0	2	+3	9
4	St Etienne	6	3	0	3	-4	9
5	Rennes	6	2	2	2	+1	8
6	Marseille	5	2	2	1	+0	8
7	Nantes	5	2	0	3	-1	6
8	Nice	5	2	0	3	-2	6
9	Lyon	5	1	2	2	+1	5
10	Amiens	5	1	2	2	-2	5
11	Monaco	5	1	2	2	-4	5
12	Brest	5	1	2	2	-5	5
13	Dijon	5	1	1	3	-3	4
14	Metz	5	1	1	3	-6	4
15	Nimes	5	0	3	2	-4	3
16	Toulouse	5	0	3	2	-5	3
17	Angers	4	1	0	3	-9	3
18	Montpellier	5	0	2	3	-3	2
19	Lille	5	0	2	3	-4	2
20	Strasbourg	5	0	1	4	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.