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Ligue 1

Referee: Mikael Lesage

Lille

U S U S U

1–0

Full-time

Bordeaux

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Bordeaux

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,3

Scored

2,7

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 42%

57%

26%

Points per game

2,0

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

54%

37%

Both score Ø 47%

51%

43%

Average goals

2,6

2,1

Scored

1,7

0,9

Conceded

0,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%

9 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lille 2. · Bordeaux 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	36	28	4	4	+68	88
2	Lille	35	20	9	6	+31	69
3	Lyon	35	18	9	8	+15	63
4	St Etienne	36	18	8	10	+15	62
5	Montpellier	36	15	13	8	+12	58
6	Marseille	35	16	7	12	+7	55
7	Nice	36	14	11	11	-4	53
8	Nimes	36	15	7	14	+0	52
9	Reims	36	11	16	9	-6	49
10	Nantes	36	13	8	15	+1	47
11	Strasbourg	36	10	16	10	+11	46
12	Rennes	36	11	13	12	-1	46
13	Angers	36	10	15	11	+0	45
14	Bordeaux	35	9	11	15	-7	38
15	Toulouse	36	8	14	14	-18	38
16	Amiens	36	8	11	17	-20	35
17	Monaco	36	7	12	17	-19	33
18	Caen	36	7	12	17	-20	33
19	Dijon	36	8	7	21	-26	31
20	Guingamp	36	5	11	20	-39	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	18	16	2	0	+49	50
2	St Etienne	18	12	2	4	+17	38
3	Lille	17	11	4	2	+25	37
4	Lyon	18	11	4	3	+15	37
5	Marseille	17	10	4	3	+16	34
6	Nimes	18	9	5	4	+11	32
7	Nantes	18	9	4	5	+12	31
8	Montpellier	18	8	7	3	+11	31
9	Nice	18	9	4	5	+3	31
10	Rennes	18	7	7	4	+7	28
11	Reims	18	7	7	4	+1	28
12	Bordeaux	18	7	6	5	+4	27
13	Strasbourg	18	6	8	4	+8	26
14	Angers	18	5	8	5	+2	23
15	Amiens	18	6	5	7	-3	23
16	Toulouse	18	4	9	5	-3	21
17	Dijon	18	5	4	9	-12	19
18	Caen	18	4	5	9	-10	17
19	Guingamp	18	3	6	9	-11	15
20	Monaco	18	3	6	9	-12	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	18	12	2	4	+19	38
2	Lille	18	9	5	4	+6	32
3	Montpellier	18	7	6	5	+1	27
4	Lyon	17	7	5	5	+0	26
5	St Etienne	18	6	6	6	-2	24
6	Angers	18	5	7	6	-2	22
7	Nice	18	5	7	6	-7	22
8	Reims	18	4	9	5	-7	21
9	Marseille	18	6	3	9	-9	21
10	Strasbourg	18	4	8	6	+3	20
11	Nimes	18	6	2	10	-11	20
12	Monaco	18	4	6	8	-7	18
13	Rennes	18	4	6	8	-8	18
14	Toulouse	18	4	5	9	-15	17
15	Caen	18	3	7	8	-10	16
16	Nantes	18	4	4	10	-11	16
17	Dijon	18	3	3	12	-14	12
18	Amiens	18	2	6	10	-17	12
19	Bordeaux	17	2	5	10	-11	11
20	Guingamp	18	2	5	11	-28	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.