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Champions League
Referee: S Marciniak
Man City
S S U T S
1–0
Full-time
Inter
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man City Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 58%
58%
58%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
58%
25%
Both score Ø 30%
42%
17%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
2,6
1,6
Conceded
0,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,99 xG 1,68
56% Possession 44%
7 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Marciniak · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.