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Serie A
Referee: Gianluca Manganiello
Atalanta
S U S S U
0–0
Full-time
Empoli
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Empoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,2
This season — Serie A · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 36%
48%
23%
Points per game
1,7
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
68%
71%
Both score Ø 63%
61%
65%
Average goals
3,4
3,2
Scored
2,1
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
47 Shots 3
18 Shots on target 1
11 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 17
9 Corners 3
1 Offside 5
6 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Atalanta 6. · Empoli 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 32 27 3 2 +43 84
2 Napoli 32 20 7 5 +33 67
3 Inter 32 18 6 8 +24 60
4 Milan 32 15 10 7 +16 55
5 Roma 32 15 9 8 +12 54
6 Atalanta 31 15 7 9 +23 52
7 Torino 32 12 14 6 +12 50
8 Lazio 31 14 7 10 +11 49
9 Sampdoria 32 14 6 12 +12 48
10 Fiorentina 32 8 16 8 +7 40
11 Sassuolo 32 8 13 11 -5 37
12 Cagliari 32 9 10 13 -13 37
13 Spal 32 9 8 15 -15 35
14 Parma 32 9 8 15 -17 35
15 Genoa 32 8 10 14 -16 34
16 Udinese 31 8 8 15 -14 32
17 Bologna 32 7 10 15 -16 31
18 Empoli 31 7 7 17 -19 28
19 Frosinone 32 5 8 19 -33 23
20 Chievo 32 1 11 20 -45 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Atalanta Empoli
14′
🔁 M. Pasqual
↦ L. Antonelli
José Luis Palomino 🟨
19′
29′
🟨 Cristian Dell'Orco
41′
🔁 D. Oberlin
↦ Diego Farias
45′
🟨 Ismaël Bennacer
Half-time 0–0
T. Castagne 🔁
↦ R. Gosens
60′
61′
🟨 Frédéric Veseli
79′
🔁 J. Rasmussen
↦ D. Nikolaou
M. Barrow 🔁
↦ D. Zapata
81′
R. Piccoli 🔁
↦ A. Gómez
88′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Atalanta

3-4-1-2
95 P. Gollini G
5 A. Masiello D
6 J. Palomino D
33 H. Hateboer M
8 R. Gosens M
23 G. Mancini D
10 A. Gómez F
72 J. Iličić F
15 M. de Roon M
11 R. Freuler M
91 D. Zapata F
Bench (11)
21 T. Castagne
99 M. Barrow
17 R. Piccoli
22 M. Pessina
44 D. Kulusevski
41 Ibañez
88 M. Pašalić
1 E. Berisha
31 F. Rossi
7 A. Reca
19 B. Djimsiti

Coach: G. Gasperini

Empoli

3-5-2
69 B. Drągowski G
13 L. Antonelli D
5 F. Veseli D
2 G. Di Lorenzo D
39 C. Dell'Orco D
43 D. Nikolaou D
33 R. Krunić M
10 I. Bennacer M
8 H. Traorè M
11 F. Caputo F
17 Diego Farias F
Bench (9)
23 M. Pasqual
37 D. Oberlin
32 J. Rasmussen
1 I. Provedel
21 F. Perucchini
18 A. Acquah
28 L. Capezzi
7 L. Mchedlidze
4 M. Brighi

Coach: A. Andreazzoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Gianluca Manganiello · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.