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Serie A
Referee: M Fabbri
Roma
S S S U T
0–0
Full-time
Bologna
U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — Serie A · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 41%
50%
32%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
53%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
53%
47%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
17 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Roma 6. · Bologna 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Milan 35 23 8 4 +31 77
2 Inter 35 22 9 4 +45 75
3 Napoli 35 21 7 7 +36 70
4 Juventus 35 20 9 6 +23 69
5 Lazio 35 17 8 10 +17 59
6 Roma 34 17 7 10 +15 58
7 Fiorentina 35 17 5 13 +7 56
8 Atalanta 34 15 10 9 +18 55
9 Verona 35 14 10 11 +9 52
10 Torino 35 12 11 12 +8 47
11 Sassuolo 35 12 10 13 -1 46
12 Udinese 35 10 13 12 +0 43
13 Bologna 34 11 9 14 -9 42
14 Empoli 35 9 10 16 -19 37
15 Sampdoria 35 9 6 20 -15 33
16 Spezia 35 9 6 20 -26 33
17 Cagliari 35 6 10 19 -32 28
18 Genoa 35 3 16 16 -30 25
19 Salernitana 33 6 7 20 -42 25
20 Venezia 34 5 7 22 -35 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,47
U ✓
4,62
B
6,76
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,21
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Fabbri · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.