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Serie A

Referee: P Giacomelli

Bologna

T T S U U

2–0

Full-time

Lazio

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Lazio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,3

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,0

This season — Serie A · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 42%

26%

57%

Points per game

1,1

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

52%

57%

Both score Ø 63%

61%

65%

Average goals

2,9

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%

14 Shots 19

8 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 7

8 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 7

0 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bologna 12. · Lazio 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	23	16	5	2	+33	53
2	Milan	23	15	4	4	+17	49
3	Juventus	22	13	6	3	+25	45
4	Roma	23	13	5	5	+12	44
5	Atalanta	23	12	7	4	+22	43
6	Lazio	23	13	4	6	+8	43
7	Napoli	22	13	1	8	+22	40
8	Sassuolo	23	9	8	6	+3	35
9	Verona	23	9	7	7	+4	34
10	Sampdoria	23	9	3	11	-1	30
11	Genoa	23	6	8	9	-7	26
12	Bologna	23	6	7	10	-7	25
13	Udinese	23	6	7	10	-8	25
14	Fiorentina	23	6	7	10	-10	25
15	Spezia	24	6	7	11	-11	25
16	Benevento	23	6	7	10	-17	25
17	Torino	23	3	11	9	-8	20
18	Cagliari	23	3	6	14	-17	15
19	Parma	24	2	9	13	-28	15
20	Crotone	23	3	3	17	-32	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	12	9	3	0	+18	30
2	Inter	11	9	1	1	+18	28
3	Juventus	11	8	2	1	+15	26
4	Lazio	12	7	2	3	+4	23
5	Napoli	11	7	1	3	+18	22
6	Atalanta	12	6	3	3	+12	21
7	Milan	12	6	3	3	+6	21
8	Verona	11	6	2	3	+6	20
9	Fiorentina	12	5	4	3	+3	19
10	Sampdoria	11	5	1	5	+2	16
11	Bologna	11	4	3	4	-1	15
12	Genoa	12	4	3	5	-1	15
13	Sassuolo	11	3	5	3	+0	14
14	Udinese	11	3	3	5	-3	12
15	Benevento	12	2	5	5	-9	11
16	Spezia	12	2	4	6	-7	10
17	Crotone	11	3	1	7	-8	10
18	Cagliari	12	2	3	7	-8	9
19	Parma	12	1	5	6	-15	8
20	Torino	11	0	7	4	-5	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	11	9	1	1	+11	28
2	Inter	12	7	4	1	+15	25
3	Atalanta	11	6	4	1	+10	22
4	Sassuolo	12	6	3	3	+3	21
5	Lazio	11	6	2	3	+4	20
6	Juventus	11	5	4	2	+10	19
7	Napoli	11	6	0	5	+4	18
8	Spezia	12	4	3	5	-4	15
9	Verona	12	3	5	4	-2	14
10	Sampdoria	12	4	2	6	-3	14
11	Roma	11	4	2	5	-6	14
12	Benevento	11	4	2	5	-8	14
13	Torino	12	3	4	5	-3	13
14	Udinese	12	3	4	5	-5	13
15	Genoa	11	2	5	4	-6	11
16	Bologna	12	2	4	6	-6	10
17	Parma	12	1	4	7	-13	7
18	Cagliari	11	1	3	7	-9	6
19	Fiorentina	11	1	3	7	-13	6
20	Crotone	12	0	2	10	-24	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.