Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Serie A

Referee: P Valeri

Milan

S U U S S

1–0

Full-time

Fiorentina

S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Milan Fiorentina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,2

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

0,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

This season — Serie A · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 58%

65%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

47%

65%

Both score Ø 55%

53%

56%

Average goals

2,6

2,9

Scored

1,8

1,6

Conceded

0,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%

13 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 2

6 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Milan 1. · Fiorentina 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	34	22	8	4	+30	74
2	Inter	34	21	9	4	+44	72
3	Napoli	35	21	7	7	+36	70
4	Juventus	35	20	9	6	+23	69
5	Lazio	35	17	8	10	+17	59
6	Roma	34	17	7	10	+15	58
7	Fiorentina	34	17	5	12	+8	56
8	Atalanta	34	15	10	9	+18	55
9	Verona	35	14	10	11	+9	52
10	Sassuolo	35	12	10	13	-1	46
11	Torino	34	11	11	12	+6	44
12	Udinese	34	10	13	11	+1	43
13	Bologna	34	11	9	14	-9	42
14	Empoli	34	9	10	15	-17	37
15	Sampdoria	35	9	6	20	-15	33
16	Spezia	35	9	6	20	-26	33
17	Cagliari	35	6	10	19	-32	28
18	Genoa	35	3	16	16	-30	25
19	Salernitana	33	6	7	20	-42	25
20	Venezia	34	5	7	22	-35	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	17	12	3	2	+27	39
2	Fiorentina	17	11	2	4	+14	35
3	Milan	17	10	4	3	+13	34
4	Juventus	18	10	4	4	+11	34
5	Roma	17	10	4	3	+10	34
6	Napoli	18	10	3	5	+18	33
7	Lazio	17	9	5	3	+15	32
8	Verona	17	9	3	5	+12	30
9	Torino	17	8	5	4	+12	29
10	Bologna	18	8	4	6	+3	28
11	Udinese	17	6	7	4	+4	25
12	Sassuolo	17	6	5	6	+0	23
13	Atalanta	17	4	7	6	+3	19
14	Spezia	17	5	3	9	-4	18
15	Sampdoria	18	5	3	10	-6	18
16	Empoli	17	4	4	9	-14	16
17	Cagliari	18	3	6	9	-11	15
18	Genoa	17	2	8	7	-11	14
19	Salernitana	16	2	5	9	-19	11
20	Venezia	17	2	4	11	-18	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	17	12	4	1	+17	40
2	Napoli	17	11	4	2	+18	37
3	Atalanta	17	11	3	3	+15	36
4	Juventus	17	10	5	2	+12	35
5	Inter	17	9	6	2	+17	33
6	Lazio	18	8	3	7	+2	27
7	Roma	17	7	3	7	+5	24
8	Sassuolo	18	6	5	7	-1	23
9	Verona	18	5	7	6	-3	22
10	Empoli	17	5	6	6	-3	21
11	Fiorentina	17	6	3	8	-6	21
12	Udinese	17	4	6	7	-3	18
13	Torino	17	3	6	8	-6	15
14	Sampdoria	17	4	3	10	-9	15
15	Spezia	18	4	3	11	-22	15
16	Bologna	16	3	5	8	-12	14
17	Salernitana	17	4	2	11	-23	14
18	Cagliari	17	3	4	10	-21	13
19	Venezia	17	3	3	11	-17	12
20	Genoa	18	1	8	9	-19	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.