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La Liga
Referee: Carlos del Cerro
Elche
T T T S S
1–1
Full-time
Osasuna
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Osasuna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
This season — La Liga · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 33%
30%
36%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
55%
42%
Both score Ø 47%
55%
39%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
11 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elche 14. · Osasuna 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 34 25 6 3 +44 81
2 Sevilla 34 17 13 4 +22 64
3 Barcelona 33 18 9 6 +28 63
4 Ath Madrid 34 18 7 9 +18 61
5 Betis 33 17 6 10 +18 57
6 Sociedad 33 15 10 8 +1 55
7 Villarreal 34 14 10 10 +21 52
8 Ath Bilbao 34 13 12 9 +7 51
9 Osasuna 33 12 8 13 -10 44
10 Valencia 34 10 13 11 -4 43
11 Vallecano 33 11 7 15 -4 40
12 Celta 33 10 9 14 -1 39
13 Espanol 34 10 9 15 -12 39
14 Elche 33 10 8 15 -8 38
15 Getafe 33 8 11 14 -6 35
16 Cadiz 34 6 14 14 -17 32
17 Mallorca 33 8 8 17 -25 32
18 Granada 33 6 12 15 -20 30
19 Alaves 34 7 7 20 -28 28
20 Levante 34 5 11 18 -24 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elche Osasuna
Diego González 🔁
↦ Bigas
20′
Fidel 🟨
36′
Gumbau 🔁
↦ Raúl Guti
39′
Enzo Roco 🟨
41′
Omar Mascarell 🟨
43′
44′
🟨 Ante Budimir
Half-time 0–0
Tete Morente 🔁
↦ Fidel
46′
64′
🟨 Juan Cruz
67′
A. Budimir 0–1
68′
🔁 Javi Martínez
↦ Moncayola
Pere Milla 🔁
↦ E. Roco
69′
G. Carrillo 🔁
↦ Kike Pérez
69′
69′
🔁 Kike
↦ E. Ávila
75′
🔁 Rubén García
↦ A. Budimir
1–1 Pere Milla
Gumbau
84′
87′
🔁 Kike Barja
↦ Juan Cruz
87′
🔁 Roberto Torres
↦ D. Brašanac
Guido Carrillo 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Elche

5-4-1
13 Edgar Badia G
3 E. Roco D
6 Bigas D
22 J. Mojica D
5 Gonzalo Verdú D
16 Fidel M
21 Omar Mascarell M
17 Josan Ferrández D
8 Raúl Guti M
24 Kike Pérez M
18 E. Ponce F
Bench (12)
4 Diego González
2 Gumbau
11 Tete Morente
10 Pere Milla
7 G. Carrillo
14 H. Palacios
23 I. Marcone
20 P. Piatti
19 Barragán
12 L. Olaza
15 J. Pastore
1 Kiko Casilla

Coach: Francisco

Osasuna

5-3-2
1 Sergio Herrera G
23 Aridane D
3 Juan Cruz D
5 David García D
2 Nacho Vidal D
39 Manu Sánchez D
8 D. Brašanac M
24 Lucas Torró M
7 Moncayola M
17 A. Budimir F
9 E. Ávila F
Bench (12)
28 Javi Martínez
18 Kike
14 Rubén García
11 Kike Barja
10 Roberto Torres
15 Jonás Ramalho
4 Unai García
21 Iñigo Pérez
6 Oier
13 Juan Pérez
16 Cote
20 Barbero

Coach: Arrasate

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,82
U ✓
3,18
B
2,68
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,32
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Carlos del Cerro · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.