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Serie A
Referee: F Cosso
Empoli
U T U T S
1–3
Full-time
Torino
S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
This season — Serie A · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 29%
26%
32%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
56%
41%
Both score Ø 59%
65%
53%
Average goals
3,1
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
11 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 11
5 Yellow cards 2
2 Red cards 0
The table before the match Empoli 14. · Torino 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Milan 34 22 8 4 +30 74
2 Inter 34 21 9 4 +44 72
3 Napoli 35 21 7 7 +36 70
4 Juventus 35 20 9 6 +23 69
5 Lazio 35 17 8 10 +17 59
6 Roma 34 17 7 10 +15 58
7 Fiorentina 34 17 5 12 +8 56
8 Atalanta 34 15 10 9 +18 55
9 Verona 35 14 10 11 +9 52
10 Sassuolo 35 12 10 13 -1 46
11 Torino 34 11 11 12 +6 44
12 Udinese 34 10 13 11 +1 43
13 Bologna 34 11 9 14 -9 42
14 Empoli 34 9 10 15 -17 37
15 Sampdoria 35 9 6 20 -15 33
16 Spezia 35 9 6 20 -26 33
17 Cagliari 35 6 10 19 -32 28
18 Genoa 35 3 16 16 -30 25
19 Salernitana 33 6 7 20 -42 25
20 Venezia 34 5 7 22 -35 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Empoli Torino
Andrea Pinamonti 🟨
18′
18′
🟨 Mergim Vojvoda
29′
🟨 Saša Lukić
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 C. Ansaldi
↦ M. Vojvoda
Liam Henderson 🟨
51′
1–0 S. Żurkowski
V. Verre
56′
Valerio Verre ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
59′
Valerio Verre 🟥
60′
M. Benassi 🔁
↦ F. Di Francesco
65′
70′
🔁 S. Ricci
↦ S. Lukić
70′
🔁 D. Seck
↦ W. Singo
71′
🔁 A. Belotti
↦ P. Pellegri
Petar Stojanović 🟨
75′
L. Štulac 🔁
↦ L. Henderson
78′
78′
A. Belotti 1–1
Petar Stojanović 🟨
85′
Petar Stojanović 🟥
85′
85′
ℹ️ Samuele Ricci
VAR: Penalty awarded
87′
A. Belotti 1–2
A. La Mantia 🔁
↦ S. Żurkowski
89′
96′
A. Belotti 1–3
J. Brekalo
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Empoli

4-3-1-2
13 G. Vicario G
30 P. Stojanović D
33 S. Luperto D
65 F. Parisi D
42 M. Viti D
7 V. Verre M
8 L. Henderson M
27 S. Żurkowski M
23 K. Asllani M
11 F. Di Francesco F
99 A. Pinamonti F
Bench (12)
15 M. Benassi
5 L. Štulac
19 A. La Mantia
10 N. Bajrami
22 J. Furlan
20 R. Fiamozzi
21 L. Cacace
6 S. Romagnoli
16 J. Fazzini
34 A. Ismajli
1 S. Ujkani
9 P. Cutrone

Coach: A. Andreazzoli

Torino

3-4-3
1 E. Berisha G
13 R. Rodríguez D
26 K. Djidji D
27 M. Vojvoda M
99 A. Buongiorno D
17 W. Singo M
22 D. Praet F
10 S. Lukić M
14 J. Brekalo F
4 T. Pobega M
64 P. Pellegri F
Bench (12)
15 C. Ansaldi
28 S. Ricci
23 D. Seck
9 A. Belotti
32 V. Savić
34 O. Aina
3 Bremer
89 L. Gemello
77 K. Linetty
5 A. Izzo
6 D. Zima
38 R. Mandragora

Coach: I. Juric

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,77
U
3,45
B ✓
2,55
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,81
U2,5
2,02
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Cosso · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.