Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Empoli
Torino
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Milan
|
34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | +30 | 74 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | +44 | 72 |
| 3 |
Napoli
|
35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | +36 | 70 |
| 4 |
Juventus
|
35 | 20 | 9 | 6 | +23 | 69 |
| 5 |
Lazio
|
35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | +17 | 59 |
| 6 |
Roma
|
34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | +15 | 58 |
| 7 |
Fiorentina
|
34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | +8 | 56 |
| 8 |
Atalanta
|
34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | +18 | 55 |
| 9 |
Verona
|
35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | +9 | 52 |
| 10 |
Sassuolo
|
35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | -1 | 46 |
| 11 |
Torino
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | +6 | 44 |
| 12 |
Udinese
|
34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | +1 | 43 |
| 13 |
Bologna
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | -9 | 42 |
| 14 |
Empoli
|
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -17 | 37 |
| 15 |
Sampdoria
|
35 | 9 | 6 | 20 | -15 | 33 |
| 16 |
Spezia
|
35 | 9 | 6 | 20 | -26 | 33 |
| 17 |
Cagliari
|
35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | -32 | 28 |
| 18 |
Genoa
|
35 | 3 | 16 | 16 | -30 | 25 |
| 19 |
Salernitana
|
33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | -42 | 25 |
| 20 |
Venezia
|
34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | -35 | 22 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
G. Vicario
G
S. Luperto
D
M. Viti
D
L. Henderson
M
F. Di Francesco
F
A. Pinamonti
F
Coach: A. Andreazzoli
E. Berisha
G
R. Rodríguez
D
M. Vojvoda
M
W. Singo
M
D. Praet
F
S. Lukić
M
J. Brekalo
F
T. Pobega
M
Coach: I. Juric
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Empoli
Napoli
Udinese
Empoli
Empoli
Spezia
Fiorentina
Empoli
Empoli
Verona
F Cosso · 49 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.