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Serie A

Referee: L Marinelli

Milan

U U S S S

0–0

Full-time

Bologna

S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Bologna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,7

Scored

1,2

0,5

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,7

This season — Serie A · 30/29 matches

Win Ø 49%

67%

31%

Points per game

2,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

50%

52%

Both score Ø 51%

57%

45%

Average goals

2,8

2,6

Scored

1,9

1,1

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%

33 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 4

12 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 7

9 Corners 2

4 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Milan 2. · Bologna 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	31	20	6	5	+33	66
2	Milan	30	20	6	4	+27	66
3	Inter	30	18	9	3	+39	63
4	Juventus	31	17	8	6	+20	59
5	Roma	31	16	6	9	+16	54
6	Lazio	31	15	7	9	+14	52
7	Atalanta	30	14	9	7	+18	51
8	Fiorentina	30	15	5	10	+11	50
9	Verona	31	12	9	10	+9	45
10	Sassuolo	31	11	10	10	+5	43
11	Torino	30	10	8	12	+5	38
12	Udinese	29	7	12	10	-6	33
13	Bologna	29	9	6	14	-12	33
14	Empoli	31	8	9	14	-15	33
15	Spezia	31	9	5	17	-22	32
16	Sampdoria	31	8	5	18	-13	29
17	Cagliari	31	5	10	16	-30	25
18	Genoa	31	2	16	13	-25	22
19	Venezia	30	5	7	18	-30	22
20	Salernitana	29	3	7	19	-44	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	15	10	3	2	+23	33
2	Fiorentina	15	10	2	3	+17	32
3	Lazio	15	9	4	2	+16	31
4	Roma	16	9	4	3	+9	31
5	Milan	15	9	3	3	+11	30
6	Juventus	16	9	3	4	+10	30
7	Napoli	15	9	2	4	+14	29
8	Verona	16	9	2	5	+12	29
9	Torino	15	7	4	4	+11	25
10	Udinese	15	5	7	3	+2	22
11	Bologna	15	6	3	6	+0	21
12	Sassuolo	15	5	5	5	+0	20
13	Atalanta	15	4	6	5	+4	18
14	Spezia	15	5	3	7	-1	18
15	Sampdoria	16	4	3	9	-6	15
16	Cagliari	15	2	6	7	-10	12
17	Empoli	15	3	3	9	-15	12
18	Genoa	15	1	8	6	-9	11
19	Venezia	15	2	4	9	-15	10
20	Salernitana	15	1	5	9	-20	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	16	11	4	1	+19	37
2	Milan	15	11	3	1	+16	36
3	Atalanta	15	10	3	2	+14	33
4	Inter	15	8	6	1	+16	30
5	Juventus	15	8	5	2	+10	29
6	Roma	15	7	2	6	+7	23
7	Sassuolo	16	6	5	5	+5	23
8	Empoli	16	5	6	5	+0	21
9	Lazio	16	6	3	7	-2	21
10	Fiorentina	15	5	3	7	-6	18
11	Verona	15	3	7	5	-3	16
12	Sampdoria	15	4	2	9	-7	14
13	Spezia	16	4	2	10	-21	14
14	Torino	15	3	4	8	-6	13
15	Cagliari	16	3	4	9	-20	13
16	Bologna	14	3	3	8	-12	12
17	Venezia	15	3	3	9	-15	12
18	Udinese	14	2	5	7	-8	11
19	Genoa	16	1	8	7	-16	11
20	Salernitana	14	2	2	10	-24	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.