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Serie A

Referee: Rosario Abisso

Sampdoria

U T T T U

4–1

Full-time

Bologna

U U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Bologna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,5

This season — Serie A · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 23%

31%

15%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

46%

Both score Ø 42%

46%

38%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

45% Possession 55%

10 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 4

4 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sampdoria 12. · Bologna 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	14	13	1	0	+23	40
2	Napoli	13	9	2	2	+13	29
3	Inter	13	9	1	3	+15	28
4	Lazio	13	7	2	4	+4	23
5	Milan	13	6	4	3	+5	22
6	Parma	13	6	2	5	-2	20
7	Roma	13	5	4	4	+6	19
8	Sassuolo	13	5	4	4	+2	19
9	Atalanta	13	5	3	5	+8	18
10	Fiorentina	14	4	6	4	+5	18
11	Torino	13	4	6	3	+2	18
12	Sampdoria	13	4	4	5	+1	16
13	Cagliari	13	3	6	4	-4	15
14	Genoa	13	4	3	6	-9	15
15	Spal	14	4	2	8	-10	14
16	Empoli	14	3	4	7	-8	13
17	Udinese	13	3	3	7	-6	12
18	Bologna	13	2	5	6	-7	11
19	Frosinone	13	1	4	8	-18	7
20	Chievo	13	0	4	9	-20	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	7	6	1	0	+11	19
2	Napoli	7	5	2	0	+11	17
3	Inter	7	5	1	1	+11	16
4	Fiorentina	7	4	2	1	+8	14
5	Lazio	7	4	1	2	+4	13
6	Milan	6	4	1	1	+3	13
7	Roma	6	3	2	1	+7	11
8	Sassuolo	6	3	2	1	+2	11
9	Genoa	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Parma	7	3	2	2	+1	11
11	Atalanta	6	3	1	2	+8	10
12	Cagliari	6	2	4	0	+3	10
13	Empoli	7	3	1	3	+0	10
14	Sampdoria	6	2	2	2	+0	8
15	Bologna	7	2	2	3	-2	8
16	Spal	7	2	2	3	-3	8
17	Torino	6	2	1	3	-2	7
18	Udinese	7	2	1	4	-5	7
19	Frosinone	6	0	3	3	-8	3
20	Chievo	7	0	2	5	-10	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	7	7	0	0	+12	21
2	Inter	6	4	0	2	+4	12
3	Napoli	6	4	0	2	+2	12
4	Torino	7	2	5	0	+4	11
5	Lazio	6	3	1	2	+0	10
6	Milan	7	2	3	2	+2	9
7	Parma	6	3	0	3	-3	9
8	Sampdoria	7	2	2	3	+1	8
9	Atalanta	7	2	2	3	+0	8
10	Sassuolo	7	2	2	3	+0	8
11	Roma	7	2	2	3	-1	8
12	Spal	7	2	0	5	-7	6
13	Udinese	6	1	2	3	-1	5
14	Cagliari	7	1	2	4	-7	5
15	Fiorentina	7	0	4	3	-3	4
16	Genoa	6	1	1	4	-10	4
17	Frosinone	7	1	1	5	-10	4
18	Bologna	6	0	3	3	-5	3
19	Empoli	7	0	3	4	-8	3
20	Chievo	6	0	2	4	-10	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.