Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Cagliari
Sampdoria
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Milan
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 16 |
| 2 |
Sassuolo
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 15 |
| 3 |
Napoli
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 12 |
| 4 |
Atalanta
|
6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 5 |
Inter
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 11 |
| 6 |
Verona
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |
Roma
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |
Sampdoria
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 9 |
Lazio
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 |
Juventus
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 9 |
| 11 |
Fiorentina
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 |
Cagliari
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |
Bologna
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 |
Benevento
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 |
Parma
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |
Genoa
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 |
Spezia
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 5 |
| 18 |
Torino
|
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 19 |
Udinese
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 20 |
Crotone
|
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 1 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
C. Lykogiannis
D
G. Zappa
D
R. Marin
M
G. Simeone
F
Coach: E. Di Francesco
E. Audero
G
B. Bereszyński
D
T. Augello
D
M. Thorsby
M
Coach: C. Ranieri
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Bologna
Cagliari
Cagliari
Crotone
Torino
Cagliari
Atalanta
Cagliari
Cagliari
Lazio
G Ayroldi · 86 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.