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Serie A
Referee: G Ayroldi
Cagliari
T T S S T
2–0
Full-time
Sampdoria
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Sampdoria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,5
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
2,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — Serie A · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,5
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
2,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 6
4 Offside 5
12 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Cagliari 12. · Sampdoria 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Milan 6 5 1 0 +9 16
2 Sassuolo 7 4 3 0 +9 15
3 Napoli 5 4 0 1 +10 12
4 Atalanta 6 4 0 2 +4 12
5 Inter 6 3 2 1 +5 11
6 Verona 6 3 2 1 +5 11
7 Roma 6 3 2 1 +3 11
8 Sampdoria 6 3 1 2 +2 10
9 Lazio 6 3 1 2 -2 10
10 Juventus 5 2 3 0 +6 9
11 Fiorentina 6 2 1 3 -2 7
12 Cagliari 6 2 1 3 -3 7
13 Bologna 6 2 0 4 -1 6
14 Benevento 6 2 0 4 -7 6
15 Parma 6 1 2 3 -5 5
16 Genoa 6 1 2 3 -6 5
17 Spezia 6 1 2 3 -7 5
18 Torino 6 1 1 4 -4 4
19 Udinese 7 1 1 5 -5 4
20 Crotone 6 0 1 5 -11 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cagliari Sampdoria
40′
🟥 Tommaso Augello
44′
🔁 M. Damsgaard
↦ G. Ramírez
Half-time 0–0
R. Sottil 🔁
↦ R. Marin
46′
1–0 João Pedro
48′
64′
🟨 Lorenzo Tonelli
2–0 N. Nández
G. Simeone
68′
77′
🔁 Adrien Silva
↦ A. Ekdal
77′
🔁 A. La Gumina
↦ F. Quagliarella
77′
🔁 M. Léris
↦ J. Jankto
Riccardo Sottil ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
81′
81′
🔁 V. Verre
↦ A. Candreva
83′
🟨 Adrien Silva
L. Pavoletti 🔁
↦ G. Simeone
86′
F. Pisacane 🔁
↦ G. Zappa
91′
F. Caligara 🔁
↦ N. Nández
91′
M. Tramoni 🔁
↦ A. Ounas
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Cagliari

4-4-1-1
28 A. Cragno G
2 D. Godín D
22 C. Lykogiannis D
40 S. Walukiewicz D
25 G. Zappa D
10 João Pedro F
8 R. Marin M
6 M. Rog M
18 N. Nández M
37 A. Ounas M
9 G. Simeone F
Bench (12)
33 R. Sottil
30 L. Pavoletti
19 F. Pisacane
12 F. Caligara
17 M. Tramoni
27 A. Cerri
31 G. Vicario
1 S. Aresti
20 G. Pereiro
3 A. Tripaldelli
15 R. Klavan
21 C. Oliva

Coach: E. Di Francesco

Sampdoria

4-4-2
1 E. Audero G
22 M. Yoshida D
24 B. Bereszyński D
21 L. Tonelli D
3 T. Augello D
87 A. Candreva M
6 A. Ekdal M
11 G. Ramírez F
18 M. Thorsby M
14 J. Jankto M
27 F. Quagliarella F
Bench (12)
38 M. Damsgaard
5 Adrien Silva
20 A. La Gumina
26 M. Léris
8 V. Verre
34 K. Letica
99 N. Prelec
19 V. Regini
30 N. Ravaglia
16 K. Askildsen
25 A. Ferrari
15 O. Colley

Coach: C. Ranieri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,78
U
3,56
B
2,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,62
U2,5 ✓
2,29
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Ayroldi · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.