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Serie A

Referee: Piero Giacomelli

Atalanta

S S S S T

1–2

Full-time

Napoli

S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Napoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,7

Scored

2,7

2,2

Conceded

1,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+1,7

This season — Serie A · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 54%

38%

69%

Points per game

1,4

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

62%

69%

Both score Ø 50%

46%

54%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

1,9

2,0

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%

14 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

12 Corners 6

0 Offside 4

8 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Atalanta 11. · Napoli 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	14	13	1	0	+23	40
2	Inter	14	9	2	3	+15	29
3	Napoli	13	9	2	2	+13	29
4	Milan	14	7	4	3	+6	25
5	Lazio	14	7	3	4	+4	24
6	Torino	14	5	6	3	+3	21
7	Roma	14	5	5	4	+6	20
8	Sassuolo	14	5	5	4	+2	20
9	Parma	14	6	2	6	-3	20
10	Sampdoria	14	5	4	5	+4	19
11	Atalanta	13	5	3	5	+8	18
12	Fiorentina	14	4	6	4	+5	18
13	Cagliari	14	3	7	4	-4	16
14	Genoa	14	4	3	7	-10	15
15	Spal	14	4	2	8	-10	14
16	Udinese	14	3	4	7	-6	13
17	Empoli	14	3	4	7	-8	13
18	Bologna	14	2	5	7	-10	11
19	Frosinone	14	1	5	8	-18	8
20	Chievo	14	0	5	9	-20	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	7	6	1	0	+11	19
2	Napoli	7	5	2	0	+11	17
3	Inter	7	5	1	1	+11	16
4	Milan	7	5	1	1	+4	16
5	Fiorentina	7	4	2	1	+8	14
6	Lazio	7	4	1	2	+4	13
7	Roma	7	3	3	1	+7	12
8	Sassuolo	7	3	3	1	+2	12
9	Sampdoria	7	3	2	2	+3	11
10	Genoa	7	3	2	2	+1	11
11	Parma	7	3	2	2	+1	11
12	Atalanta	6	3	1	2	+8	10
13	Cagliari	6	2	4	0	+3	10
14	Empoli	7	3	1	3	+0	10
15	Torino	7	3	1	3	-1	10
16	Bologna	7	2	2	3	-2	8
17	Spal	7	2	2	3	-3	8
18	Udinese	7	2	1	4	-5	7
19	Frosinone	7	0	4	3	-8	4
20	Chievo	8	0	3	5	-10	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	7	7	0	0	+12	21
2	Inter	7	4	1	2	+4	13
3	Napoli	6	4	0	2	+2	12
4	Torino	7	2	5	0	+4	11
5	Lazio	7	3	2	2	+0	11
6	Milan	7	2	3	2	+2	9
7	Parma	7	3	0	4	-4	9
8	Sampdoria	7	2	2	3	+1	8
9	Atalanta	7	2	2	3	+0	8
10	Sassuolo	7	2	2	3	+0	8
11	Roma	7	2	2	3	-1	8
12	Udinese	7	1	3	3	-1	6
13	Cagliari	8	1	3	4	-7	6
14	Spal	7	2	0	5	-7	6
15	Fiorentina	7	0	4	3	-3	4
16	Frosinone	7	1	1	5	-10	4
17	Genoa	7	1	1	5	-11	4
18	Empoli	7	0	3	4	-8	3
19	Bologna	7	0	3	4	-8	3
20	Chievo	6	0	2	4	-10	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.