La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Betis
Cadiz
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
27 | 23 | 2 | 2 | +44 | +7.9 | 71 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | +35 | +14.3 | 59 |
| 3 |
Ath Madrid
|
27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | +24 | +8.6 | 54 |
| 4 |
Sociedad
|
28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | +11 | +2.6 | 51 |
| 5 |
Villarreal
|
28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | +11 | +4.0 | 47 |
| 6 |
Betis
|
27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +7 | +3.0 | 45 |
| 7 |
Ath Bilbao
|
28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | +9 | +2.9 | 40 |
| 8 |
Osasuna
|
28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | -4 | -7.6 | 38 |
| 9 |
Vallecano
|
27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | +1 | -1.8 | 37 |
| 10 |
Celta
|
28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | -3 | +2.7 | 36 |
| 11 |
Girona
|
27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | +0 | -2.6 | 34 |
| 12 |
Mallorca
|
28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | -5 | -3.0 | 34 |
| 13 |
Sevilla
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -11 | +3.1 | 32 |
| 14 |
Getafe
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -9 | -1.8 | 30 |
| 15 |
Valladolid
|
28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | -24 | -12.3 | 29 |
| 16 |
Cadiz
|
27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -19 | -3.3 | 28 |
| 17 |
Valencia
|
27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | -3 | -2.5 | 27 |
| 18 |
Espanol
|
28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -12 | -2.5 | 27 |
| 19 |
Almeria
|
27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | -15 | -3.8 | 27 |
| 20 |
Elche
|
28 | 2 | 7 | 19 | -37 | -8.1 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Ath Madrid
Betis
Betis
Mallorca
Betis
Man United
Villarreal
Betis
Man United
Betis
Guillermo Cuadra · 111 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.