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La Liga
Referee: Pablo González
Espanol
U S U S T
1–0
Full-time
Betis
T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 17/16 matches
Win Ø 34%
18%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
53%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
71%
44%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,30 xG 0,87
30% Possession 70%
8 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Espanol 14. · Betis 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 16 13 2 1 +29 41
2 Real Madrid 16 12 2 2 +20 38
3 Sociedad 18 12 2 4 +10 +0.8 38
4 Ath Madrid 17 8 4 5 +8 28
5 Villarreal 17 8 4 5 +7 28
6 Betis 16 8 4 4 +6 28
7 Osasuna 17 8 3 6 +1 27
8 Ath Bilbao 17 7 5 5 +8 26
9 Vallecano 18 7 5 6 +2 -0.8 26
10 Mallorca 18 7 4 7 -1 +0.0 25
11 Girona 17 5 6 6 -1 21
12 Valencia 16 5 4 7 +5 19
13 Almeria 17 5 3 9 -8 18
14 Espanol 17 3 8 6 -5 17
15 Getafe 17 4 5 8 -8 17
16 Celta 18 4 5 9 -12 -0.0 17
17 Valladolid 17 5 2 10 -12 17
18 Cadiz 17 3 7 7 -16 16
19 Sevilla 17 3 6 8 -9 15
20 Elche 17 0 5 12 -24 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Espanol Betis
24′
🟨 Guido Rodríguez
Javi Puado 🟨
27′
1–0 M. Braithwaite
Brian Oliván
43′
Half-time 1–0
César Montes 🟨
55′
60′
🔁 Rodri
↦ G. Rodríguez
Fernando Calero 🔁
↦ Aleix Vidal
72′
74′
🔁 Joaquín
↦ A. Guardado
Rubén Sánchez 🔁
↦ M. Braithwaite
80′
Nico Melamed 🔁
↦ Javi Puado
81′
81′
🔁 Juan Miranda
↦ Abner
81′
🔁 Willian José
↦ Luiz Henrique
Ruben Sanchez Saez 🟨
89′
91′
🟨 Aitor Ruibal
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Espanol

4-4-2
25 Álvaro Fernández G
2 Óscar Gil D
23 C. Montes D
4 L. Cabrera D
14 Brian Oliván D
22 Aleix Vidal M
12 Vinicius Souza M
10 Darder M
7 Javi Puado M
9 Joselu F
17 M. Braithwaite F
Bench (12)
5 Fernando Calero
27 Rubén Sánchez
21 Nico Melamed
18 R. Pierre-Gabriel
1 Joan García
16 José Carlos Lazo
35 Roger Martínez
26 O. El Hilali
6 Pol Lozano
20 Edu Expósito
24 Sergi Gómez
19 Dani Gómez

Coach: Diego Martínez

Betis

4-2-3-1
1 C. Bravo G
24 Aitor Ruibal D
16 G. Pezzella D
3 Edgar González D
20 Abner D
5 G. Rodríguez M
14 William Carvalho M
11 Luiz Henrique M
10 Sergio Canales M
18 A. Guardado M
9 Borja Iglesias F
Bench (11)
28 Rodri
17 Joaquín
33 Juan Miranda
12 Willian José
4 P. Akouokou
25 Dani Martín
13 Rui Silva
6 Víctor Ruiz
23 Y. Sabaly
2 Martín Montoya
21 Loren Morón

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,79
U
3,16
B
2,72
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,20
U2,5 ✓
1,69
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Pablo González · 106 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.