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Copa del Rey

Referee: Juan Pulido

Ath Bilbao

S U S U T

1–0

Full-time

Espanol

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Espanol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,2

This season — Copa del Rey · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

3,0

2,3

Conceded

0,3

Goal diff per game

+2,7

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

63% Possession 37%

24 Shots 4

9 Shots on target 1

9 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 8

17 Corners 2

2 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 5. · Espanol 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Sociedad	4	4	0	0	+10	12
3	Villarreal	3	3	0	0	+14	9
4	Mallorca	4	3	0	1	+8	9
5	Ath Bilbao	3	3	0	0	+8	9
6	Levante	3	3	0	0	+6	9
7	Osasuna	3	3	0	0	+6	9
8	Espanol	3	3	0	0	+6	9
9	Ath Madrid	3	3	0	0	+6	9
10	Ceuta	3	3	0	0	+3	9
11	Sp Gijon	4	3	0	1	+2	9
12	Alaves	4	3	0	1	+2	9
13	Valencia	2	2	0	0	+7	6
14	Celta	3	2	0	1	+6	6
15	Valladolid	3	2	0	1	+5	6
16	Elche	3	2	0	1	+5	6
17	Cacereño	3	2	0	1	+3	6
18	Getafe	3	2	0	1	+2	6
19	Intercity	3	2	0	1	+2	6
20	Gimnastic	3	2	0	1	+2	6
21	Pontevedra	3	2	0	1	+1	6
22	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	3	2	0	1	+0	6
23	Oviedo	3	2	0	1	+0	6
24	Linares Deportivo	3	2	0	1	-3	6
25	Albacete	2	1	1	0	+3	4
26	UD Logroñés	3	1	1	1	+1	4
27	Saguntino	2	1	1	0	+1	4
28	Las Palmas	2	1	1	0	+1	4
29	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	+0	4
30	La Nucía	3	1	1	1	-1	4
31	Cartagena	3	1	1	1	-3	4
32	Eldense	3	1	1	1	-4	4
33	Betis	1	1	0	0	+3	3
34	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
35	Andorra	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Ibiza	2	1	0	1	+1	3
37	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Guijuelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
39	Tenerife	2	1	0	1	+1	3
40	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Mollerussa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Fuentes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Granada	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Alcora	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Girona	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Real Unión	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Arenteiro	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Mirandes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Sestao River	2	1	0	1	+0	3
50	Numancia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
51	Barbadás	2	1	0	1	-1	3
52	Velarde	2	1	0	1	-1	3
53	Diocesano	2	1	0	1	-1	3
54	Algar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
55	Cazalegas	2	1	0	1	-2	3
56	Guadalajara	2	1	0	1	-2	3
57	Arenas Getxo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
58	CD Coria	2	1	0	1	-3	3
59	Santa Amalia	2	1	0	1	-8	3
60	Alcorcon	2	0	2	0	+0	2
61	Huesca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Coruxo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Utebo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Dinamo San Juan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Peña Deportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Real Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Atlético Baleares	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Ourense CF	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Montilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	Malaga	2	0	1	1	-1	1
73	Mérida AD	2	0	1	1	-1	1
74	Atlético Paso	2	0	1	1	-1	1
75	Burgos	2	0	1	1	-1	1
76	Arnedo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
77	Juventud Torremolinos	2	0	1	1	-3	1
78	Rincón	2	0	1	1	-3	1
79	Gernika	2	0	1	1	-3	1
80	Autol	2	0	1	1	-6	1
81	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Gimnástica Torrelavega	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Yeclano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Los Yébenes SB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Unión Adarve	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Quintanar del Rey	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Turégano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Lugo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Utrera	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Santander	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	Alfaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
100	Cirbonero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
101	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
102	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-1	0
103	Cardassar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
110	Racing Rioja	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	Cristo Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	Fuenlabrada	1	0	0	1	-2	0
113	Almazán	1	0	0	1	-2	0
114	Lealtad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
115	Vimenor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
116	San Juan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
117	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
118	Alzira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
119	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
120	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
121	Amigó	1	0	0	1	-3	0
122	Huétor Tájar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
123	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-3	0
124	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
125	Olot	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cacereño	3	2	0	1	+3	6
2	Levante	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Ceuta	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	3	2	0	1	+0	6
5	Saguntino	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Intercity	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Guijuelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Mollerussa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Gimnastic	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Real Unión	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Arenteiro	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Alaves	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Sestao River	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Barbadás	2	1	0	1	-1	3
17	Pontevedra	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Oviedo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
19	Velarde	2	1	0	1	-1	3
20	Diocesano	2	1	0	1	-1	3
21	Algar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
22	Cazalegas	2	1	0	1	-2	3
23	Sp Gijon	2	1	0	1	-2	3
24	Guadalajara	2	1	0	1	-2	3
25	Arenas Getxo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
26	CD Coria	2	1	0	1	-3	3
27	Eldense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
28	Linares Deportivo	2	1	0	1	-4	3
29	Santa Amalia	2	1	0	1	-8	3
30	Coruxo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Utebo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Alcorcon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Peña Deportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Ourense CF	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Montilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Atlético Paso	2	0	1	1	-1	1
38	UD Logroñés	2	0	1	1	-1	1
39	Arnedo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
40	Juventud Torremolinos	2	0	1	1	-3	1
41	Gernika	2	0	1	1	-3	1
42	La Nucía	2	0	1	1	-3	1
43	Autol	2	0	1	1	-6	1
44	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Gimnástica Torrelavega	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Yeclano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Unión Adarve	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Quintanar del Rey	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Utrera	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Alfaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Cirbonero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Mérida AD	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Racing Rioja	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Cristo Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Almazán	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Lealtad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Vimenor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	San Juan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Alzira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Fuentes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Numancia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Alcora	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Amigó	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Rincón	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Huétor Tájar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
75	Cartagena	1	0	0	1	-4	0
76	Olot	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Villarreal	3	3	0	0	+14	9
3	Sociedad	3	3	0	0	+9	9
4	Mallorca	4	3	0	1	+8	9
5	Ath Bilbao	3	3	0	0	+8	9
6	Osasuna	3	3	0	0	+6	9
7	Ath Madrid	3	3	0	0	+6	9
8	Valencia	2	2	0	0	+7	6
9	Celta	3	2	0	1	+6	6
10	Valladolid	3	2	0	1	+5	6
11	Elche	3	2	0	1	+5	6
12	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
13	Espanol	2	2	0	0	+4	6
14	Getafe	3	2	0	1	+2	6
15	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+2	6
16	Albacete	2	1	1	0	+3	4
17	Cartagena	2	1	1	0	+1	4
18	Las Palmas	2	1	1	0	+1	4
19	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	+0	4
20	Levante	1	1	0	0	+4	3
21	Betis	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Alcora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Fuentes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	La Nucía	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
27	Pontevedra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Numancia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Andorra	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Ibiza	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Oviedo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Tenerife	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Linares Deportivo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Intercity	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Granada	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Girona	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Mirandes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Huesca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Eldense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Mérida AD	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Dinamo San Juan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Real Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Atlético Baleares	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Alcorcon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Rincón	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Malaga	2	0	1	1	-1	1
52	Burgos	2	0	1	1	-1	1
53	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Los Yébenes SB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Turégano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Lugo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Santander	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Cardassar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Fuenlabrada	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.