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La Liga
Referee: Carlos del Cerro
Espanol
T S S U S
2–2
Full-time
Girona
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Girona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 20%
13%
27%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
47%
60%
Both score Ø 77%
67%
87%
Average goals
2,7
3,1
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%
12 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 2
0 Offside 5
13 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Espanol 18. · Girona 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 15 12 2 1 +28 38
2 Real Madrid 16 12 2 2 +20 38
3 Sociedad 15 9 2 4 +4 29
4 Ath Madrid 15 8 3 4 +9 27
5 Villarreal 16 8 3 5 +7 27
6 Ath Bilbao 15 7 4 4 +10 25
7 Betis 15 7 4 4 +5 25
8 Vallecano 15 6 5 4 +4 23
9 Osasuna 15 7 2 6 +0 23
10 Mallorca 16 6 4 6 -1 22
11 Valencia 16 5 4 7 +5 19
12 Girona 15 4 5 6 -2 17
13 Almeria 15 5 2 8 -6 17
14 Getafe 15 4 5 6 -6 17
15 Valladolid 16 5 2 9 -11 17
16 Celta 16 4 4 8 -11 16
17 Cadiz 16 3 6 7 -16 15
18 Espanol 15 2 7 6 -6 13
19 Sevilla 15 2 6 7 -9 12
20 Elche 16 0 4 12 -24 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Espanol Girona
Edu Expósito 🟨
4′
9′
🟨 Valentin Castellanos
Brian Oliván 🟨
21′
32′
Toni Villa 0–1
Aleix García
Half-time 0–1
Javi Puado 🔁
↦ Edu Expósito
50′
1–1 Javi Puado
51′
Aleix Vidal 🔁
↦ Nico Melamed
57′
63′
🔁 Samuel Sáiz
↦ Toni Villa
71′
🔁 Y. Herrera
↦ Ramón Terrats
71′
🔁 C. Stuani
↦ V. Castellanos
2–1 Joselu
Brian Oliván
76′
80′
🔁 Valery
↦ Rodrigo Riquelme
81′
🔁 Yan Couto
↦ Iván Martín
Roger Martínez 🔁
↦ Brian Oliván
84′
C. Montes 🔁
↦ Fernando Calero
84′
Rubén Sánchez 🔁
↦ Óscar Gil
84′
85′
Y. Herrera 2–2
Yan Couto
César Montes 🟨
87′
88′
🟨 Yangel Herrera
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Espanol

4-3-3
25 Álvaro Fernández G
2 Óscar Gil D
24 Sergi Gómez D
4 L. Cabrera D
14 Brian Oliván D
20 Edu Expósito M
5 Fernando Calero M
10 Darder M
21 Nico Melamed F
9 Joselu F
17 M. Braithwaite F
Bench (10)
7 Javi Puado
22 Aleix Vidal
35 Roger Martínez
23 C. Montes
27 Rubén Sánchez
28 Simo
16 José Carlos Lazo
31 Dani Villahermosa
1 Joan García
26 O. El Hilali

Coach: Diego Martínez

Girona

4-1-4-1
13 P. Gazzaniga G
4 Arnau Martínez D
22 S. Bueno D
5 David López D
3 Miguel Gutiérrez D
8 Ramón Terrats M
12 Toni Villa M
23 Iván Martín M
14 Aleix García M
17 Rodrigo Riquelme M
9 V. Castellanos F
Bench (11)
10 Samuel Sáiz
21 Y. Herrera
7 C. Stuani
11 Valery
20 Yan Couto
25 Manu Vallejo
1 Juan Carlos
33 Joel Roca
24 Borja García
26 Toni Fuidias
2 B. Espinosa

Coach: Míchel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,30
U ✓
3,41
B
3,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,03
U2,5
1,81
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Carlos del Cerro · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.