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La Liga
Referee: César Soto
Osasuna
S S T S U
1–0
Full-time
Mallorca
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Mallorca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,5
This season — La Liga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 41%
44%
38%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
31%
19%
Both score Ø 41%
44%
38%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
1,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
15 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 1
0 Offside 7
15 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Osasuna 9. · Mallorca 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 16 13 2 1 +29 41
2 Real Madrid 16 12 2 2 +20 38
3 Sociedad 16 10 2 4 +6 32
4 Villarreal 17 8 4 5 +7 28
5 Betis 16 8 4 4 +6 28
6 Ath Madrid 16 8 3 5 +8 27
7 Ath Bilbao 16 7 5 4 +10 26
8 Vallecano 17 7 5 5 +4 26
9 Osasuna 16 7 3 6 +0 24
10 Mallorca 16 6 4 6 -1 22
11 Girona 17 5 6 6 -1 21
12 Valencia 16 5 4 7 +5 19
13 Getafe 16 4 5 7 -7 17
14 Almeria 16 5 2 9 -8 17
15 Celta 17 4 5 8 -11 17
16 Valladolid 17 5 2 10 -12 17
17 Sevilla 17 3 6 8 -9 15
18 Cadiz 16 3 6 7 -16 15
19 Espanol 16 2 8 6 -6 14
20 Elche 16 0 4 12 -24 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Osasuna Mallorca
39′
🟨 Kang-in Lee
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Aimar Oroz
Moi Gómez
47′
Chimy Ávila 🟨
58′
64′
🔁 A. Ndiaye
↦ Dani Rodríguez
Rubén García 🔁
↦ E. Ávila
68′
Moncayola 🔁
↦ A. Ezzalzouli
68′
72′
🔁 Abdón Prats
↦ Copete
72′
🔁 B. Cufré
↦ Jaume Costa
Kike García 🔁
↦ A. Budimir
75′
Lucas Torró 🟨
78′
84′
🔁 Antonio Sánchez
↦ I. Baba
84′
🔁 Ángel
↦ Lee Kang-In
Unai García 🔁
↦ Diego Moreno
90′
D. Brašanac 🔁
↦ Aimar Oroz
90′
94′
🟨 Martin Valjent
94′
🟨 Clément Grenier
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Osasuna

4-3-3
25 Aitor Fernández G
35 Diego Moreno D
23 Aridane D
5 David García D
20 Manu Sánchez D
22 Aimar Oroz M
6 Lucas Torró M
16 Moi Gómez M
9 E. Ávila F
17 A. Budimir F
12 A. Ezzalzouli F
Bench (10)
14 Rubén García
7 Moncayola
18 Kike García
4 Unai García
8 D. Brašanac
3 Juan Cruz
1 Sergio Herrera
13 Juan Pérez
19 Pablo Ibáñez
11 Kike Barja

Coach: Arrasate

Mallorca

5-4-1
1 P. Rajković G
15 Pablo Maffeo D
24 M. Valjent D
21 Raíllo D
6 Copete D
18 Jaume Costa D
14 Dani Rodríguez M
12 I. Baba M
8 C. Grenier M
19 Lee Kang-In M
7 V. Muriqi F
Bench (12)
23 A. Ndiaye
9 Abdón Prats
3 B. Cufré
10 Antonio Sánchez
22 Ángel
17 T. Kadewere
20 G. González
34 Javier Llabrés
16 R. Battaglia
2 M. Nastasić
29 Josep Gayá
13 D. Greif

Coach: J. Aguirre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,06
U
3,12
B
4,21
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,75
U2,5 ✓
1,45
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

César Soto · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.