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Champions League
Referee: S Vinčić
Inter
T S S T T
1–0
Full-time
Barcelona
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,2
2,7
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,2
This season — Champions League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
2,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

28% Possession 72%
5 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 13
7 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 9
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Inter Barcelona
Nicolò Barella 🟨
23′
Nicolò Barella ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
24′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 H. Çalhanoğlu ⚽
F. Dimarco
47′
E. Džeko 🔁
↦ J. Correa
56′
58′
🔁 Piqué
↦ A. Christensen
60′
🟨 Sergio Busquets
64′
🔁 Ansu Fati
↦ Raphinha
64′
🔁 Alejandro Balde
↦ Marcos Alonso
68′
ℹ️ Pedri
VAR: Goal cancelled
Hakan Çalhanoğlu 🟨
70′
Lautaro Martínez 🟨
76′
76′
🟨 Gavi
D. Dumfries 🔁
↦ F. Dimarco
76′
R. Gosens 🔁
↦ M. Darmian
77′
F. Acerbi 🔁
↦ S. de Vrij
77′
83′
🔁 F. Kessié
↦ Gavi
K. Asllani 🔁
↦ H. Çalhanoğlu
85′
Alessandro Bastoni 🟨
88′
André Onana 🟨
96′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Inter

3-5-2
24 A. Onana G
37 M. Škriniar D
6 S. de Vrij D
95 A. Bastoni D
36 M. Darmian M
23 N. Barella M
20 H. Çalhanoğlu M
22 H. Mkhitaryan M
32 F. Dimarco M
10 Lautaro Martínez F
11 J. Correa F
Bench (12)
9 E. Džeko
2 D. Dumfries
8 R. Gosens
15 F. Acerbi
14 K. Asllani
12 R. Bellanova
46 M. Zanotti
33 D. D'Ambrosio
5 R. Gagliardini
45 V. Carboni
1 S. Handanovič
40 N. Botis

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
20 Sergi Roberto D
15 A. Christensen D
24 Eric García D
17 Marcos Alonso D
30 Gavi M
5 Sergio Busquets M
8 Pedri M
7 O. Dembélé F
9 R. Lewandowski F
22 Raphinha F
Bench (10)
3 Piqué
10 Ansu Fati
28 Alejandro Balde
19 F. Kessié
11 Ferran Torres
32 Pablo Torre
36 Arnau Tenas
26 Iñaki Peña
18 Jordi Alba
29 Marc Casadó

Coach: Xavi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Vinčić · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.