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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernández

Celta

T T S T U

3–3

Full-time

Barcelona

T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

1,3

2,5

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 12/11 matches

Win Ø 31%

25%

36%

Points per game

0,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

33%

45%

Both score Ø 45%

25%

64%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

53% Possession 47%

18 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 1

2 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celta 15. · Barcelona 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	12	7	4	1	+7	25
2	Real Madrid	11	7	3	1	+14	24
3	Sevilla	11	7	3	1	+12	24
4	Ath Madrid	11	6	4	1	+8	22
5	Betis	12	6	3	3	+4	21
6	Vallecano	12	6	2	4	+6	20
7	Osasuna	12	5	4	3	-1	19
8	Ath Bilbao	12	4	6	2	+3	18
9	Espanol	13	4	5	4	+1	17
10	Barcelona	11	4	4	3	+4	16
11	Valencia	12	4	4	4	+1	16
12	Mallorca	12	3	5	4	-6	14
13	Villarreal	11	2	6	3	+1	12
14	Cadiz	13	2	6	5	-7	12
15	Celta	12	3	2	7	-4	11
16	Granada	12	2	5	5	-5	11
17	Elche	12	2	4	6	-6	10
18	Alaves	11	3	1	7	-8	10
19	Levante	12	0	6	6	-12	6
20	Getafe	12	1	3	8	-12	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vallecano	6	5	1	0	+11	16
2	Sevilla	5	5	0	0	+11	15
3	Barcelona	7	4	2	1	+7	14
4	Espanol	7	4	2	1	+5	14
5	Sociedad	6	4	2	0	+4	14
6	Ath Madrid	6	3	3	0	+6	12
7	Betis	6	3	2	1	+5	11
8	Valencia	6	3	2	1	+5	11
9	Ath Bilbao	6	3	1	2	+2	10
10	Mallorca	6	2	3	1	+1	9
11	Real Madrid	4	2	2	0	+8	8
12	Villarreal	5	2	2	1	+4	8
13	Elche	6	1	4	1	+0	7
14	Osasuna	6	1	3	2	-4	6
15	Alaves	6	2	0	4	-5	6
16	Granada	5	1	2	2	-1	5
17	Levante	6	0	4	2	-5	4
18	Getafe	6	1	1	4	-5	4
19	Cadiz	7	0	4	3	-5	4
20	Celta	6	1	0	5	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	7	5	1	1	+6	16
2	Osasuna	6	4	1	1	+3	13
3	Sociedad	6	3	2	1	+3	11
4	Ath Madrid	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Betis	6	3	1	2	-1	10
6	Sevilla	6	2	3	1	+1	9
7	Celta	6	2	2	2	+1	8
8	Ath Bilbao	6	1	5	0	+1	8
9	Cadiz	6	2	2	2	-2	8
10	Granada	7	1	3	3	-4	6
11	Valencia	6	1	2	3	-4	5
12	Mallorca	6	1	2	3	-7	5
13	Villarreal	6	0	4	2	-3	4
14	Alaves	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Vallecano	6	1	1	4	-5	4
16	Espanol	6	0	3	3	-4	3
17	Elche	6	1	0	5	-6	3
18	Barcelona	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Levante	6	0	2	4	-7	2
20	Getafe	6	0	2	4	-7	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.