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La Liga
Referee: Pablo Gonzales Fuertes
Ath Madrid
U S U S S
1–1
Full-time
Sociedad
S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 46%
49%
43%
Points per game
1,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
30%
62%
Both score Ø 53%
43%
62%
Average goals
2,1
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
6 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Madrid 3. · Sociedad 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 37 26 8 3 +45 86
2 Barcelona 38 25 7 6 +48 82
3 Ath Madrid 37 18 15 4 +24 69
4 Sevilla 37 18 13 6 +19 67
5 Villarreal 38 18 6 14 +14 60
6 Sociedad 37 16 7 14 +8 55
7 Getafe 37 14 12 11 +7 54
8 Granada 37 15 8 14 +3 53
9 Valencia 37 14 11 12 -6 53
10 Ath Bilbao 37 13 12 12 +7 51
11 Osasuna 37 13 12 12 -8 51
12 Levante 37 13 7 17 -7 46
13 Valladolid 38 9 15 14 -11 42
14 Eibar 38 11 9 18 -17 42
15 Betis 38 10 11 17 -12 41
16 Alaves 38 10 9 19 -25 39
17 Celta 37 7 15 15 -12 36
18 Leganes 37 8 11 18 -21 35
19 Mallorca 37 9 5 23 -25 32
20 Espanol 37 5 9 23 -31 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Madrid Sociedad
18′
🟨 A. Gorosabel
1–0 Koke
A. Morata
30′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 D. Llorente
↦ A. Elustondo
46′
🔁 A. Gorosabel
↦ A. Barrenetxea Muguruza
Thomas 🟨
48′
Thomas 🔁
↦ A. Correa
56′
D. Costa 🔁
↦ Y. Carrasco
56′
Vitolo 🔁
↦ Joao Felix
57′
64′
🔁 A. Isak
↦ Willian Jose
65′
🔁 M. Odegaard
↦ Portu
A. Morata 🔁
↦ M. Llorente
65′
K. Trippier 🔁
↦ J. Gimenez
78′
78′
🔁 M. Oyarzabal
↦ A. Januzaj
87′
A. Januzaj 1–1
90′
🟨 N. Monreal
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 Jan Oblak G
23 Kieran Trippier D
15 Stefan Savić D
18 Felipe D
12 Renan Lodi D
6 Koke M
16 Héctor Herrera M
5 Thomas Partey M
20 Vitolo M
19 Diego Costa F
9 Álvaro Morata F
Bench (9)
1 Antonio Adán
2 José Giménez
4 Santiago Arias
21 Yannick Carrasco
14 Marcos Llorente
11 Thomas Lemar
10 Ángel Correa
17 Ivan Šaponjić
7 João Félix

Coach: D. Simeone

Sociedad

3-4-2-1
13 Miguel Ángel Moyà G
3 Diego Llorente D
24 Robin Le Normand D
5 Igor Zubeldia D
18 Andoni Gorosabel M
36 Martín Zubimendi M
8 Mikel Merino M
20 Nacho Monreal M
21 Martin Ødegaard F
10 Mikel Oyarzabal F
19 Alexander Isak F
Bench (12)
1 Álex Remiro
30 Andoni Zubiaurre
2 Joseba Zaldúa
6 Aritz Elustondo
26 Jon Pacheco Dozagarat
12 Aihen Muñoz
11 Adnan Januzaj
17 David Zurutuza
28 Roberto López
22 Ander Barrenetxea
7 Portu
9 Willian José

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,99
U ✓
3,27
B
4,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,37
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Pablo Gonzales Fuertes · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.