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La Liga
Referee: Guillermo Cuadra
Sociedad
U U U T T
0–2
Full-time
Ath Madrid
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,3
This season — La Liga · 15/12 matches
Win Ø 61%
47%
75%
Points per game
1,7
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
47%
33%
Both score Ø 36%
47%
25%
Average goals
2,3
2,4
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
0,7
0,4
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
6 Shots 8
1 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
20 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 3. · Ath Madrid 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 12 9 2 1 +19 29
2 Real Madrid 14 9 2 3 +11 29
3 Sociedad 15 7 5 3 +15 26
4 Villarreal 14 6 7 1 +6 25
5 Sevilla 13 7 2 4 +5 23
6 Barcelona 13 6 3 4 +11 21
7 Granada 13 6 3 4 -3 21
8 Celta 14 5 4 5 -1 19
9 Cadiz 14 5 3 6 -8 18
10 Ath Bilbao 14 5 2 7 +0 17
11 Getafe 13 4 4 5 -3 16
12 Betis 14 5 1 8 -11 16
13 Valencia 15 3 6 6 -1 15
14 Eibar 14 3 6 5 -3 15
15 Elche 13 3 6 4 -4 15
16 Levante 13 3 5 5 -2 14
17 Alaves 14 3 5 6 -5 14
18 Valladolid 14 3 5 6 -6 14
19 Osasuna 14 3 3 8 -10 12
20 Huesca 14 1 8 5 -10 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Ath Madrid
16′
🟨 Stefan Savić
Robin Le Normand 🟨
29′
29′
🟨 Mario Hermoso
Half-time 0–1
49′
Hermoso 0–1
Y. Carrasco
59′
🔁 Saúl
↦ Á. Correa
66′
🟨 Saúl Ñíguez
A. Isak 🔁
↦ Willian José
66′
Martín Merquelanz 🔁
↦ Barrenetxea
66′
72′
🔁 G. Kondogbia
↦ T. Lemar
74′
Llorente 0–2
Y. Carrasco
Jon Bautista 🔁
↦ Portu
75′
Elustondo 🔁
↦ Gorosabel
75′
Roberto López 🔁
↦ David Silva
75′
Aritz Elustondo 🟨
80′
Alexander Isak 🟨
86′
87′
🔁 Renan Lodi
↦ Y. Carrasco
87′
🔁 Diego Costa
↦ L. Suárez
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-2-3-1
1 Álex Remiro G
20 Nacho Monreal D
18 Gorosabel D
24 R. Le Normand D
21 David Silva M
8 Mikel Merino M
5 Zubeldía D
36 Martín Zubimendi M
9 Willian José F
7 Portu M
22 Barrenetxea M
Bench (12)
19 A. Isak
17 Martín Merquelanz
25 Jon Bautista
6 Elustondo
28 Roberto López
37 Urko González
29 Robert Navarro
16 Guevara
12 Aihen Muñoz
14 Jon Guridi
34 Gaizka Ayesa
15 M. Sagnan

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Ath Madrid

3-4-2-1
13 J. Oblak G
15 S. Savić D
23 K. Trippier M
18 Felipe D
22 Hermoso D
6 Koke M
21 Y. Carrasco M
11 T. Lemar F
14 Llorente M
9 L. Suárez F
10 Á. Correa F
Bench (10)
8 Saúl
4 G. Kondogbia
12 Renan Lodi
19 Diego Costa
3 Manu Sánchez
17 I. Šaponjić
20 Vitolo
24 Š. Vrsaljko
31 Miguel San Román
5 L. Torreira

Coach: D. Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,28
U
3,14
B ✓
2,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,35
U2,5 ✓
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Guillermo Cuadra · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.