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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernández

Sevilla

S S S S S

0–2

Full-time

Barcelona

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 92%

100%

83%

Points per game

3,0

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,5

Scored

2,2

2,7

Conceded

0,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+1,8

This season — La Liga · 23/24 matches

Win Ø 64%

65%

63%

Points per game

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

30%

63%

Both score Ø 45%

35%

54%

Average goals

2,2

3,1

Scored

1,5

2,2

Conceded

0,7

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%

4 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

20 Free kicks against 9

5 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sevilla 4. · Barcelona 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	23	17	4	2	+29	55
2	Real Madrid	24	16	4	4	+23	52
3	Barcelona	24	15	5	4	+31	50
4	Sevilla	23	15	3	5	+18	48
5	Sociedad	24	11	8	5	+21	41
6	Villarreal	24	8	13	3	+8	37
7	Betis	24	11	3	10	-6	36
8	Levante	25	7	11	7	+1	32
9	Ath Bilbao	24	8	6	10	+6	30
10	Granada	24	8	6	10	-12	30
11	Celta	24	7	8	9	-7	29
12	Valencia	24	6	9	9	-2	27
13	Osasuna	24	6	7	11	-11	25
14	Cadiz	24	6	7	11	-19	25
15	Getafe	24	6	6	12	-13	24
16	Eibar	25	4	10	11	-8	22
17	Alaves	24	5	7	12	-18	22
18	Valladolid	24	4	9	11	-13	21
19	Elche	23	4	9	10	-14	21
20	Huesca	25	3	11	11	-14	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	12	9	2	1	+19	29
2	Barcelona	13	8	4	1	+19	28
3	Sevilla	11	8	1	2	+12	25
4	Real Madrid	11	8	0	3	+13	24
5	Villarreal	12	5	6	1	+6	21
6	Granada	12	6	3	3	+2	21
7	Sociedad	12	5	5	2	+12	20
8	Ath Bilbao	12	6	2	4	+9	20
9	Betis	12	6	2	4	+1	20
10	Levante	13	4	7	2	+3	19
11	Celta	11	6	1	4	+0	19
12	Valencia	12	4	5	3	+4	17
13	Getafe	12	4	3	5	+0	15
14	Osasuna	12	4	3	5	-4	15
15	Alaves	12	3	4	5	-5	13
16	Elche	12	2	6	4	-6	12
17	Huesca	12	2	5	5	-5	11
18	Valladolid	12	2	4	6	-8	10
19	Cadiz	12	2	4	6	-10	10
20	Eibar	13	1	6	6	-7	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	13	8	4	1	+10	28
2	Ath Madrid	11	8	2	1	+10	26
3	Sevilla	12	7	2	3	+6	23
4	Barcelona	11	7	1	3	+12	22
5	Sociedad	12	6	3	3	+9	21
6	Villarreal	12	3	7	2	+2	16
7	Betis	12	5	1	6	-7	16
8	Cadiz	12	4	3	5	-9	15
9	Eibar	12	3	4	5	-1	13
10	Levante	12	3	4	5	-2	13
11	Valladolid	12	2	5	5	-5	11
12	Ath Bilbao	12	2	4	6	-3	10
13	Valencia	12	2	4	6	-6	10
14	Celta	13	1	7	5	-7	10
15	Osasuna	12	2	4	6	-7	10
16	Elche	11	2	3	6	-8	9
17	Huesca	13	1	6	6	-9	9
18	Alaves	12	2	3	7	-13	9
19	Getafe	12	2	3	7	-13	9
20	Granada	12	2	3	7	-14	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.