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La Liga

Referee: Jesús Gil

Villarreal

S U U U U

1–2

Full-time

Betis

S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Betis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,5

This season — La Liga · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 39%

36%

41%

Points per game

1,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

45%

Both score Ø 53%

64%

41%

Average goals

2,4

3,0

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%

9 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 3

4 Offside 0

19 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 6. · Betis 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	21	17	3	1	+31	54
2	Real Madrid	23	15	4	4	+22	49
3	Barcelona	22	14	4	4	+28	46
4	Sevilla	22	14	3	5	+16	45
5	Sociedad	23	10	8	5	+17	38
6	Villarreal	22	8	12	2	+9	36
7	Betis	22	9	3	10	-8	30
8	Granada	23	8	6	9	-11	30
9	Celta	23	7	8	8	-5	29
10	Levante	22	6	9	7	-1	27
11	Ath Bilbao	21	7	4	10	+2	25
12	Osasuna	23	6	7	10	-9	25
13	Valencia	23	5	9	9	-4	24
14	Getafe	23	6	6	11	-12	24
15	Cadiz	22	6	6	10	-15	24
16	Alaves	23	5	7	11	-14	22
17	Eibar	23	4	9	10	-7	21
18	Valladolid	23	4	9	10	-12	21
19	Elche	21	3	9	9	-12	18
20	Huesca	23	2	10	11	-15	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	11	9	2	0	+21	29
2	Sevilla	11	8	1	2	+12	25
3	Barcelona	11	7	3	1	+16	24
4	Real Madrid	11	8	0	3	+13	24
5	Villarreal	11	5	6	0	+7	21
6	Granada	12	6	3	3	+2	21
7	Ath Bilbao	11	6	1	4	+9	19
8	Celta	11	6	1	4	+0	19
9	Sociedad	11	4	5	2	+8	17
10	Levante	11	4	5	2	+3	17
11	Betis	11	5	2	4	+0	17
12	Getafe	12	4	3	5	+0	15
13	Osasuna	11	4	3	4	-2	15
14	Valencia	11	3	5	3	+2	14
15	Alaves	12	3	4	5	-5	13
16	Cadiz	11	2	4	5	-6	10
17	Valladolid	11	2	4	5	-7	10
18	Elche	11	1	6	4	-7	9
19	Huesca	11	1	5	5	-6	8
20	Eibar	12	1	5	6	-7	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	10	8	1	1	+10	25
2	Real Madrid	12	7	4	1	+9	25
3	Barcelona	11	7	1	3	+12	22
4	Sociedad	12	6	3	3	+9	21
5	Sevilla	11	6	2	3	+4	20
6	Villarreal	11	3	6	2	+2	15
7	Cadiz	11	4	2	5	-9	14
8	Eibar	11	3	4	4	+0	13
9	Betis	11	4	1	6	-8	13
10	Valladolid	12	2	5	5	-5	11
11	Levante	11	2	4	5	-4	10
12	Celta	12	1	7	4	-5	10
13	Valencia	12	2	4	6	-6	10
14	Osasuna	12	2	4	6	-7	10
15	Elche	10	2	3	5	-5	9
16	Alaves	11	2	3	6	-9	9
17	Getafe	11	2	3	6	-12	9
18	Granada	11	2	3	6	-13	9
19	Huesca	12	1	5	6	-9	8
20	Ath Bilbao	10	1	3	6	-7	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.