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La Liga
Referee: Santiago Jaime
Celta
T U U U T
2–1
Full-time
Sevilla
S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 32%
14%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
32%
27%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%
13 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 4
0 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celta 20. · Sevilla 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 23 15 7 1 +30 52
2 Barcelona 22 14 4 4 +26 46
3 Getafe 23 12 6 5 +15 42
4 Ath Madrid 23 10 9 4 +8 39
5 Sevilla 22 11 6 5 +7 39
6 Sociedad 23 11 4 8 +8 37
7 Valencia 23 10 7 6 +1 37
8 Villarreal 23 10 5 8 +9 35
9 Ath Bilbao 23 7 10 6 +4 31
10 Granada 23 9 3 11 -3 30
11 Levante 23 9 2 12 -5 29
12 Osasuna 23 6 10 7 -2 28
13 Betis 22 7 7 8 -4 28
14 Alaves 23 7 6 10 -8 27
15 Valladolid 23 5 11 7 -6 26
16 Eibar 23 6 6 11 -10 24
17 Mallorca 23 5 3 15 -17 18
18 Leganes 23 4 6 13 -18 18
19 Espanol 23 4 6 13 -21 18
20 Celta 22 3 8 11 -14 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celta Sevilla
23′
Y. En-Nesyri 0–1
Half-time 0–1
P. Sisto 🔁
↦ Brais Méndez
46′
Jeison Murillo 🟨
51′
63′
🟨 Diego Carlos
66′
🔁 É. Banega
↦ Suso
F. Bradarić 🔁
↦ Fran Beltrán
70′
73′
🔁 L. de Jong
↦ Y. En-Nesyri
1–1 Iago Aspas
Rafinha
78′
Hugo Mallo 🟨
79′
Fedor Smolov 🟨
80′
85′
🔁 Nolito
↦ F. Vázquez
Santi Mina 🔁
↦ F. Smolov
88′
90′
🟨 Sergio Escudero
2–1 P. Sisto
O. Yokuşlu
91′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Celta

4-3-3
13 Rubén Blanco G
2 Hugo Mallo D
21 Jeison Murillo D
4 Néstor Araujo D
15 Lucas Olaza D
8 Fran Beltran M
5 Okay Yokuşlu M
12 Rafinha Alcántara M
10 Iago Aspas F
9 Fedor Smolov F
23 Brais Méndez F
Bench (7)
1 Sergio Álvarez
18 Joseph Aidoo
6 Denis Suárez
14 Filip Bradarić
19 Gabriel Fernández
11 Pione Sisto
22 Santi Mina

Coach: Óscar García

Sevilla

4-3-3
1 Tomáš Vaclík G
16 Jesús Navas D
3 Sergi Gómez D
20 Diego Carlos D
18 Sergio Escudero D
24 Joan Jordan M
25 Fernando M
22 Franco Vázquez M
14 Suso F
15 Youssef En-Nesyri F
5 Lucas Ocampos F
Bench (7)
13 Bono
23 Sergio Reguilón
12 Jules Koundé
10 Éver Banega
17 Nemanja Gudelj
19 Luuk de Jong
8 Nolito

Coach: Lopetegui

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,39
U
3,27
B
2,23
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,18
U2,5
1,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Santiago Jaime · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.