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La Liga
Referee: Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez
Espanol
S U U S U
0–1
Full-time
Sevilla
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,5
4,0
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
This season — La Liga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 37%
33%
41%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
52%
52%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
13 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 5
11 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Espanol 13. · Sevilla 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 27 19 6 2 +43 63
2 Ath Madrid 28 16 8 4 +20 56
3 Real Madrid 28 17 3 8 +17 54
4 Getafe 27 12 9 6 +12 45
5 Alaves 28 12 8 8 +0 44
6 Sevilla 27 11 7 9 +10 40
7 Valencia 27 8 15 4 +7 39
8 Betis 27 11 6 10 -1 39
9 Ath Bilbao 28 8 13 7 -3 37
10 Sociedad 28 9 9 10 +0 36
11 Eibar 28 8 11 9 -2 35
12 Girona 28 8 10 10 -6 34
13 Espanol 27 9 7 11 -8 34
14 Leganes 28 8 9 11 -7 33
15 Levante 28 8 7 13 -11 31
16 Valladolid 28 7 8 13 -16 29
17 Villarreal 27 5 11 11 -6 26
18 Celta 28 6 7 15 -11 25
19 Vallecano 27 6 5 16 -19 23
20 Huesca 28 5 7 16 -19 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Espanol Sevilla
Half-time 0–1
53′
W. Ben Yedder 0–1
Óscar Melendo 🔁
↦ Granero
60′
63′
🟨 Maximilian Wöber
63′
🔁 Munir
↦ André Silva
Sergi Darder 🟨
65′
F. Ferreyra 🔁
↦ H. Pérez
69′
74′
🔁 M. Rog
↦ I. Amadou
75′
🟨 Daniel Carriço
79′
🔁 F. Vázquez
↦ É. Banega
Javi Puado 🔁
↦ Naldo
85′
Sergi Darder 🟨
90′
Didac Vila 🟨
90′
Sergi Darder 🟥
90′
90′
🟨 Juan Soriano
90′
🟨 Juan Soriano
90′
🟥 Juan Soriano
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Espanol

4-1-4-1
13 Diego López G
8 R. Rosales D
12 Dídac Vilá D
5 Naldo D
22 Mario Hermoso D
23 Granero M
24 Wu Lei
10 Sergi Darder M
21 Marc Roca M
17 H. Pérez M
7 Borja Iglesias F
Bench (7)
14 Óscar Melendo
11 F. Ferreyra
20 Javi Puado
18 Alejandro López
27 Lluís López
1 Roberto Jiménez
16 Javi López

Coach: Rubí

Sevilla

4-4-2
13 Juan Soriano G
25 G. Mercado D
6 Daniel Carriço D
14 M. Wöber D
16 Jesús Navas M
10 É. Banega M
15 M. Gonalons M
5 I. Amadou M
9 W. Ben Yedder F
21 Q. Promes F
12 André Silva F
Bench (7)
19 Munir
20 M. Rog
22 F. Vázquez
7 Roque Mesa
41 Bryan Gil
3 Sergi Gómez
38 L. García

Coach: Joaquín Caparrós

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.