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La Liga

Referee: Santiago Jaime

Villarreal

S T S S T

0–0

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,5

1,8

Scored

2,2

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 41%

45%

36%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

82%

Both score Ø 50%

73%

27%

Average goals

3,7

1,6

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

1,5

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%

11 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

8 Corners 10

4 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 7. · Ath Bilbao 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	11	7	1	3	+15	22
2	Real Madrid	11	6	4	1	+12	22
3	Ath Madrid	12	5	6	1	+5	21
4	Sevilla	12	6	3	3	+2	21
5	Granada	11	6	2	3	+5	20
6	Sociedad	11	6	1	4	+6	19
7	Villarreal	11	5	2	4	+9	17
8	Levante	12	5	2	5	+1	17
9	Valladolid	12	4	5	3	+0	17
10	Valencia	12	4	5	3	-1	17
11	Ath Bilbao	11	4	4	3	+4	16
12	Getafe	11	4	4	3	+2	16
13	Osasuna	11	3	6	2	+1	15
14	Betis	12	3	4	5	-7	13
15	Eibar	11	3	3	5	-4	12
16	Alaves	11	3	3	5	-5	12
17	Mallorca	12	3	2	7	-9	11
18	Celta	11	2	3	6	-8	9
19	Espanol	12	2	2	8	-14	8
20	Leganes	11	1	2	8	-14	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	5	5	0	0	+15	15
2	Real Madrid	6	4	2	0	+10	14
3	Ath Bilbao	6	4	1	1	+7	13
4	Ath Madrid	6	3	3	0	+4	12
5	Granada	5	4	0	1	+4	12
6	Villarreal	5	3	2	0	+9	11
7	Getafe	6	3	2	1	+4	11
8	Levante	6	3	2	1	+4	11
9	Alaves	6	3	2	1	+4	11
10	Betis	6	3	2	1	+3	11
11	Sevilla	6	3	2	1	+3	11
12	Mallorca	7	3	2	2	+1	11
13	Valencia	6	2	4	0	+3	10
14	Sociedad	5	3	0	2	+5	9
15	Valladolid	5	2	3	0	+5	9
16	Osasuna	5	2	3	0	+3	9
17	Eibar	5	3	0	2	+0	9
18	Celta	6	2	1	3	-3	7
19	Leganes	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Espanol	6	0	0	6	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	6	3	1	2	+1	10
2	Sevilla	6	3	1	2	-1	10
3	Ath Madrid	6	2	3	1	+1	9
4	Real Madrid	5	2	2	1	+2	8
5	Granada	6	2	2	2	+1	8
6	Espanol	6	2	2	2	-3	8
7	Valladolid	7	2	2	3	-5	8
8	Barcelona	6	2	1	3	+0	7
9	Valencia	6	2	1	3	-4	7
10	Villarreal	6	2	0	4	+0	6
11	Osasuna	6	1	3	2	-2	6
12	Levante	6	2	0	4	-3	6
13	Getafe	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Ath Bilbao	5	0	3	2	-3	3
15	Eibar	6	0	3	3	-4	3
16	Celta	5	0	2	3	-5	2
17	Betis	6	0	2	4	-10	2
18	Alaves	5	0	1	4	-9	1
19	Leganes	5	0	1	4	-9	1
20	Mallorca	5	0	0	5	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.