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La Liga
Referee: Jesús Gil
Real Madrid
S T S U S
3–1
Full-time
Sociedad
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 12/13 matches
Win Ø 56%
58%
54%
Points per game
2,1
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
50%
54%
Both score Ø 52%
42%
62%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
2,1
1,6
Conceded
0,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
18 Shots 11
10 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 7
4 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Real Madrid 2. · Sociedad 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 13 9 1 3 +19 28
2 Real Madrid 12 7 4 1 +16 25
3 Ath Madrid 14 6 7 1 +7 25
4 Sevilla 13 7 3 3 +3 24
5 Sociedad 13 7 2 4 +7 23
6 Granada 14 6 3 5 +2 21
7 Ath Bilbao 13 5 5 3 +5 20
8 Getafe 13 5 5 3 +3 20
9 Levante 14 6 2 6 +1 20
10 Valencia 14 5 5 4 +0 20
11 Osasuna 13 4 7 2 +3 19
12 Villarreal 13 5 3 5 +7 18
13 Valladolid 13 4 5 4 -3 17
14 Betis 14 4 4 6 -7 16
15 Alaves 13 4 3 6 -4 15
16 Eibar 13 4 3 6 -7 15
17 Mallorca 14 4 2 8 -8 14
18 Celta 13 2 3 8 -12 9
19 Espanol 13 2 2 9 -16 8
20 Leganes 14 1 3 10 -16 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,37
U
5,40
B
7,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,40
U2,5
2,91
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jesús Gil · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.