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Premier League
Referee: Kevin Friend
Brighton
T U U T T
1–0
Full-time
West Ham
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brighton West Ham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — Premier League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 22%
14%
29%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
57%
71%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
3,0
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,9
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%
9 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 9
5 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brighton 15. · West Ham 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 7 6 1 0 +18 19
2 Liverpool 7 6 1 0 +12 19
3 Chelsea 7 5 2 0 +10 17
4 Tottenham 7 5 0 2 +7 15
5 Arsenal 7 5 0 2 +5 15
6 Watford 7 4 1 2 +3 13
7 Bournemouth 7 4 1 2 +0 13
8 Leicester 7 4 0 3 +3 12
9 Wolves 7 3 3 1 +2 12
10 Man United 7 3 1 3 -2 10
11 Everton 7 2 3 2 +0 9
12 Burnley 7 2 1 4 -2 7
13 Crystal Palace 7 2 1 4 -3 7
14 West Ham 7 2 1 4 -4 7
15 Brighton 7 1 2 4 -5 5
16 Southampton 7 1 2 4 -5 5
17 Fulham 7 1 2 4 -8 5
18 Newcastle 7 0 2 5 -6 2
19 Cardiff 7 0 2 5 -12 2
20 Huddersfield 7 0 2 5 -13 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.