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Bundesliga
Referee: M Petersen
Hertha
U U U U T
2–1
Full-time
Schalke 04
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,8
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,8
This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 10%
10%
10%
Points per game
0,8
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
40%
70%
Both score Ø 65%
70%
60%
Average goals
2,7
3,4
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
10 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 5
14 Free kicks against 13
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 15. · Schalke 04 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Union Berlin 11 7 2 2 +11 23
2 Bayern Munich 11 6 4 1 +24 22
3 Freiburg 11 6 3 2 +3 21
4 Ein Frankfurt 11 6 2 3 +6 20
5 Dortmund 11 6 1 4 +4 19
6 Mainz 11 5 3 3 +3 18
7 Hoffenheim 11 5 2 4 +5 17
8 RB Leipzig 11 4 4 3 +2 16
9 M'gladbach 11 4 4 3 +2 16
10 FC Koln 11 4 4 3 -3 16
11 Werder Bremen 11 4 3 4 +2 15
12 Augsburg 11 4 2 5 -5 14
13 Wolfsburg 11 2 5 4 -6 11
14 Leverkusen 11 2 3 6 -7 9
15 Hertha 10 1 5 4 -3 8
16 Stuttgart 11 1 5 5 -7 8
17 Bochum 11 2 1 8 -17 7
18 Schalke 04 10 1 3 6 -14 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Schalke 04
17′
ℹ️ Marius Bülter
VAR: Goal cancelled
Half-time 0–0
M. Richter 🔁
↦ C. Ejuke
46′
1–0 L. Tousart
49′
59′
🔁 D. Latza
↦ T. Krauß
59′
🔁 F. Mollet
↦ D. Drexler
I. Šunjić 🔁
↦ S. Serdar
73′
73′
🔁 K. Karaman
↦ M. Aydın
Wilfried Kanga 🟨
75′
Agustín Rogel 🟨
81′
83′
🔁 S. Polter
↦ M. Bülter
85′
F. Mollet 1–1
S. Polter
86′
🟨 Sebastian Polter
2–1 W. Kanga
S. Jovetić
88′
Dodi Lukebakio 🟨
91′
M. Dárdai 🔁
↦ D. Lukébakio
91′
J. Boëtius 🔁
↦ S. Jovetić
91′
Marco Richter 🟨
93′
Jean-Paul Boëtius 🟨
96′
D. Selke 🔁
↦ W. Kanga
96′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Hertha

4-2-2-2
1 O. Christensen G
16 J. Kenny D
3 A. Rogel D
20 M. Kempf D
21 M. Plattenhardt D
29 L. Tousart M
8 S. Serdar M
14 D. Lukébakio M
40 C. Ejuke M
18 W. Kanga F
19 S. Jovetić F
Bench (9)
23 M. Richter
34 I. Šunjić
7 D. Selke
31 M. Dárdai
10 J. Boëtius
17 M. Mittelstädt
11 M. Maolida
12 T. Ernst
2 P. Pekarík

Coach: S. Schwarz

Schalke 04

3-4-1-2
13 A. Schwolow G
27 C. Brunner D
4 M. Yoshida D
41 H. Matriciani D
23 M. Aydın M
6 T. Krauß M
30 A. Král M
2 T. Ouwejan M
24 D. Drexler F
9 S. Terodde F
11 M. Bülter F
Bench (9)
8 D. Latza
20 F. Mollet
19 K. Karaman
40 S. Polter
7 J. Larsson
17 F. Flick
1 R. Fährmann
15 T. Kolodziejczak
29 T. Mohr

Coach: M. Kreutzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,76
U
3,89
B
4,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,15
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Petersen · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.