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Bundesliga
Referee: F Badstübner
Schalke 04
U S T T T
0–3
Full-time
Hoffenheim
T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Hoffenheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
2,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 28%
11%
44%
Points per game
0,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
67%
56%
Both score Ø 62%
67%
56%
Average goals
3,4
2,7
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
2,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

51% Possession 49%
14 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 16. · Hoffenheim 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Union Berlin 9 6 2 1 +10 20
2 Freiburg 9 5 3 1 +6 18
3 Bayern Munich 9 4 4 1 +17 16
4 Dortmund 9 5 1 3 +1 16
5 Werder Bremen 9 4 3 2 +6 15
6 M'gladbach 9 4 3 2 +4 15
7 Hoffenheim 9 4 2 3 +4 14
8 Ein Frankfurt 9 4 2 3 +0 14
9 FC Koln 9 3 4 2 +1 13
10 Augsburg 9 4 1 4 -4 13
11 RB Leipzig 9 3 3 3 +1 12
12 Mainz 9 3 3 3 -4 12
13 Wolfsburg 9 2 3 4 -6 9
14 Hertha 9 1 5 3 -2 8
15 Leverkusen 9 2 2 5 -3 8
16 Schalke 04 9 1 3 5 -11 6
17 Stuttgart 9 0 5 4 -5 5
18 Bochum 9 1 1 7 -15 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Hoffenheim
9′
ℹ️ Christoph Baumgartner
VAR: Penalty awarded
Leo Greiml 🟨
10′
11′
R. Skov 0–1
19′
🟨 Kevin Vogt
38′
🟨 Grischa Prömel
Half-time 0–1
M. Aydın 🔁
↦ C. Brunner
46′
47′
M. Dabbur 0–2
G. Rutter
Dominick Drexler 🟨
56′
57′
ℹ️ Robert Skov
VAR: Penalty awarded
59′
R. Skov 0–3
65′
🔁 S. Rudy
↦ D. Geiger
J. Larsson 🔁
↦ D. Drexler
70′
K. Karaman 🔁
↦ S. Terodde
70′
S. Polter 🔁
↦ F. Mollet
72′
75′
🔁 J. Bruun Larsen
↦ M. Dabbur
75′
🔁 A. Stiller
↦ C. Baumgartner
88′
🔁 Eduardo Quaresma
↦ R. Skov
88′
🔁 F. Becker
↦ G. Rutter
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Schalke 04

4-5-1
13 A. Schwolow G
27 C. Brunner D
3 L. Greiml D
4 M. Yoshida D
2 T. Ouwejan D
24 D. Drexler M
30 A. Král M
20 F. Mollet M
6 T. Krauß M
11 M. Bülter M
9 S. Terodde F
Bench (9)
23 M. Aydın
7 J. Larsson
19 K. Karaman
40 S. Polter
1 R. Fährmann
41 H. Matriciani
17 F. Flick
29 T. Mohr
8 D. Latza

Coach: F. Kramer

Hoffenheim

3-5-2
1 O. Baumann G
5 O. Kabak D
22 K. Vogt D
34 S. Nsoki D
29 R. Skov M
6 G. Prömel M
8 D. Geiger M
14 C. Baumgartner M
11 Angeliño M
33 G. Rutter F
10 M. Dabbur F
Bench (9)
16 S. Rudy
7 J. Bruun Larsen
13 A. Stiller
26 Eduardo Quaresma
20 F. Becker
25 K. Akpoguma
37 L. Philipp
3 P. Kadeřábek
39 T. Bischof

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,66
U
3,77
B ✓
1,99
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,21
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Badstübner · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.