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Bundesliga
Referee: T Reichel
Leverkusen
U S U T T
4–0
Full-time
Schalke 04
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 13%
13%
13%
Points per game
0,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
75%
63%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
3,1
3,4
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
2,0
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

60% Possession 40%
13 Shots 2
7 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leverkusen 17. · Schalke 04 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Union Berlin 8 5 2 1 +9 17
2 Freiburg 8 5 2 1 +6 17
3 Bayern Munich 8 4 3 1 +17 15
4 Werder Bremen 9 4 3 2 +6 15
5 Dortmund 8 5 0 3 +1 15
6 Hoffenheim 9 4 2 3 +4 14
7 Ein Frankfurt 8 4 2 2 +3 14
8 FC Koln 8 3 4 1 +4 13
9 M'gladbach 8 3 3 2 +1 12
10 Augsburg 8 4 0 4 -4 12
11 RB Leipzig 8 3 2 3 +1 11
12 Mainz 8 3 2 3 -4 11
13 Wolfsburg 8 2 2 4 -6 8
14 Hertha 8 1 4 3 -2 7
15 Schalke 04 8 1 3 4 -7 6
16 Stuttgart 8 0 5 3 -4 5
17 Leverkusen 8 1 2 5 -7 5
18 Bochum 8 0 1 7 -18 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leverkusen Schalke 04
13′
🟨 Maya Yoshida
1–0 M. Diaby
R. Andrich
38′
2–0 J. Frimpong
M. Diaby
41′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 M. Aydın
↦ S. Polter
46′
🔁 T. Ouwejan
↦ T. Mohr
3–0 J. Frimpong
M. Diaby
52′
Piero Hincapié 🟨
58′
A. Adli 🔁
↦ M. Diaby
64′
K. Demirbay 🔁
↦ C. Aránguiz
64′
64′
🔁 F. Mollet
↦ D. Drexler
64′
🔁 A. Král
↦ F. Flick
A. Hložek 🔁
↦ P. Schick
72′
79′
🔁 D. Latza
↦ M. Yoshida
Paulinho 🔁
↦ C. Hudson-Odoi
88′
O. Kossounou 🔁
↦ P. Hincapié
88′
4–0 Paulinho
A. Adli
90′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Leverkusen

3-4-3
1 L. Hrádecký G
12 E. Tapsoba D
4 J. Tah D
3 P. Hincapié D
30 J. Frimpong M
8 R. Andrich M
20 C. Aránguiz M
5 M. Bakker M
19 M. Diaby F
14 P. Schick F
17 C. Hudson-Odoi F
Bench (9)
21 A. Adli
10 K. Demirbay
23 A. Hložek
7 Paulinho
6 O. Kossounou
40 A. Lunev
11 N. Amiri
22 D. Sinkgraven
24 T. Fosu-Mensah

Coach: Xabi Alonso

Schalke 04

4-4-2
13 A. Schwolow G
27 C. Brunner D
3 L. Greiml D
4 M. Yoshida D
29 T. Mohr D
24 D. Drexler M
6 T. Krauß M
17 F. Flick M
11 M. Bülter M
40 S. Polter F
9 S. Terodde F
Bench (9)
23 M. Aydın
2 T. Ouwejan
20 F. Mollet
30 A. Král
8 D. Latza
1 R. Fährmann
41 H. Matriciani
7 J. Larsson
19 K. Karaman

Coach: F. Kramer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,46
U
4,91
B
6,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,50
U2,5
2,59
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Reichel · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.