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Bundesliga

Referee: R Hartmann

Hoffenheim

U S T T S

1–3

Full-time

Freiburg

U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,2

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 31%

31%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

69%

54%

Both score Ø 77%

85%

69%

Average goals

3,4

3,3

Scored

1,6

1,5

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

70% Possession 30%

13 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 22

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hoffenheim 12. · Freiburg 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	9	3	1	+20	30
2	Leverkusen	13	8	4	1	+16	28
3	RB Leipzig	13	8	4	1	+15	28
4	Wolfsburg	13	6	6	1	+7	24
5	Dortmund	13	7	1	5	+8	22
6	Union Berlin	13	5	6	2	+9	21
7	Stuttgart	13	4	6	3	+6	18
8	M'gladbach	13	4	6	3	+2	18
9	Ein Frankfurt	13	3	8	2	-1	17
10	Freiburg	13	4	5	4	-3	17
11	Augsburg	13	4	4	5	-4	16
12	Hoffenheim	13	4	3	6	-2	15
13	Werder Bremen	13	3	5	5	-5	14
14	Hertha	13	3	4	6	-4	13
15	FC Koln	13	2	5	6	-8	11
16	Bielefeld	13	3	1	9	-14	10
17	Mainz	13	1	3	9	-14	6
18	Schalke 04	13	0	4	9	-28	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	7	6	1	0	+13	19
2	Wolfsburg	7	5	2	0	+6	17
3	Bayern Munich	6	4	2	0	+15	14
4	Union Berlin	7	3	3	1	+8	12
5	Leverkusen	6	3	2	1	+5	11
6	M'gladbach	7	2	4	1	+3	10
7	Dortmund	6	3	0	3	+4	9
8	Freiburg	7	2	3	2	+1	9
9	Ein Frankfurt	6	1	5	0	+1	8
10	Augsburg	7	2	2	3	-3	8
11	Hoffenheim	6	2	1	3	+1	7
12	Bielefeld	6	2	0	4	-5	6
13	Werder Bremen	6	1	2	3	-4	5
14	Hertha	6	1	2	3	-5	5
15	Stuttgart	6	0	4	2	-3	4
16	Mainz	7	0	2	5	-7	2
17	FC Koln	7	0	2	5	-9	2
18	Schalke 04	7	0	2	5	-10	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leverkusen	7	5	2	0	+11	17
2	Bayern Munich	7	5	1	1	+5	16
3	Stuttgart	7	4	2	1	+9	14
4	Dortmund	7	4	1	2	+4	13
5	RB Leipzig	6	2	3	1	+2	9
6	Union Berlin	6	2	3	1	+1	9
7	FC Koln	6	2	3	1	+1	9
8	Werder Bremen	7	2	3	2	-1	9
9	Ein Frankfurt	7	2	3	2	-2	9
10	Hertha	7	2	2	3	+1	8
11	M'gladbach	6	2	2	2	-1	8
12	Augsburg	6	2	2	2	-1	8
13	Hoffenheim	7	2	2	3	-3	8
14	Freiburg	6	2	2	2	-4	8
15	Wolfsburg	6	1	4	1	+1	7
16	Mainz	6	1	1	4	-7	4
17	Bielefeld	7	1	1	5	-9	4
18	Schalke 04	6	0	2	4	-18	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.