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Bundesliga
Referee: M Jöllenbeck
Bochum
T S T S S
1–1
Full-time
Dortmund
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bochum Dortmund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 57%
43%
71%
Points per game
1,4
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
50%
86%
Both score Ø 61%
36%
86%
Average goals
2,6
4,1
Scored
1,1
2,5
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

32% Possession 68%
4 Shots 23
3 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 9
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 15
3 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bochum 10. · Dortmund 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 14 11 1 2 +30 34
2 Dortmund 14 10 0 4 +13 30
3 Leverkusen 14 8 3 3 +16 27
4 Freiburg 14 7 4 3 +12 25
5 Hoffenheim 14 7 2 5 +8 23
6 Union Berlin 14 6 5 3 +2 23
7 Mainz 14 6 3 5 +6 21
8 Wolfsburg 14 6 2 6 -5 20
9 FC Koln 15 4 7 4 -2 19
10 Bochum 14 6 1 7 -7 19
11 RB Leipzig 14 5 3 6 +7 18
12 Ein Frankfurt 14 4 6 4 -2 18
13 M'gladbach 14 5 3 6 -6 18
14 Augsburg 15 4 4 7 -9 16
15 Hertha 14 4 3 7 -14 15
16 Stuttgart 14 3 5 6 -5 14
17 Bielefeld 14 1 7 6 -10 10
18 Greuther Furth 14 0 1 13 -34 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bochum Dortmund
1–0 S. Polter
40′
Half-time 1–0
56′
ℹ️ Marius Wolf
VAR: Goal cancelled
57′
🟨 Nico Schulz
58′
🟨 Mats Hummels
H. Bockhorn 🔁
↦ G. Holtmann
68′
S. Ganvoula 🔁
↦ S. Polter
68′
68′
🔁 J. Brandt
↦ M. Dahoud
68′
🔁 T. Hazard
↦ M. Wolf
R. Tesche 🔁
↦ M. Pantović
79′
C. Gamboa 🔁
↦ C. Antwi-Adjei
80′
85′
J. Brandt 1–1
E. Haaland
94′
🟨 Dan-Axel Zagadou
A. Bella-Kotchap 🔁
↦ K. Stafylidis
96′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bochum

4-1-4-1
1 M. Riemann G
3 Danilo Soares D
16 K. Stafylidis D
29 M. Leitsch D
8 A. Losilla M
20 E. Rexhbeçaj M
4 E. Mašović D
40 S. Polter F
17 G. Holtmann M
27 M. Pantović M
22 C. Antwi-Adjei M
Bench (9)
11 H. Bockhorn
35 S. Ganvoula
23 R. Tesche
2 C. Gamboa
37 A. Bella-Kotchap
24 V. Lampropoulos
15 S. Novothny
6 P. Osterhage
21 M. Esser

Coach: T. Reis

Dortmund

4-2-3-1
1 G. Kobel G
15 M. Hummels D
24 T. Meunier D
14 N. Schulz D
5 D. Zagadou D
23 E. Can M
39 M. Wolf M
8 M. Dahoud M
22 J. Bellingham M
11 M. Reus M
9 E. Haaland F
Bench (9)
19 J. Brandt
10 T. Hazard
30 F. Passlack
35 M. Hitz
20 Reinier
36 A. Knauff
28 A. Witsel
27 S. Tigges
34 M. Pongracic

Coach: M. Rose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,98
U ✓
4,72
B
1,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,46
U2,5 ✓
2,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Jöllenbeck · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.