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Bundesliga
Referee: B Brand
Augsburg
T S T T U
1–4
Full-time
Leverkusen
U U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
2,5
Conceded
2,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

42% Possession 58%
13 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Augsburg 17. · Leverkusen 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 3 2 0 1 +3 6
2 Wolfsburg 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Leverkusen 2 1 1 0 +4 4
4 Hoffenheim 3 1 1 1 +3 4
5 Bayern Munich 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Freiburg 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 RB Leipzig 2 1 0 1 +3 3
8 FC Koln 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 Bochum 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 Stuttgart 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Mainz 2 1 0 1 -1 3
12 Union Berlin 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Bielefeld 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 Ein Frankfurt 2 0 1 1 -3 1
15 Greuther Furth 2 0 1 1 -4 1
16 M'gladbach 2 0 1 1 -4 1
17 Augsburg 2 0 1 1 -4 1
18 Hertha 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Augsburg Leverkusen
3′
Iago 1–0
own goal
14′
F. Niederlechner 2–0
own goal
3–0 F. Niederlechner
30′
Half-time 3–0
65′
🔁 R. Andrich
↦ E. Palacios
65′
🔁 F. Wirtz
↦ Paulinho
66′
🟨 Kerem Demirbay
F. Jensen 🔁
↦ D. Caligiuri
67′
75′
P. Schick 3–1
F. Wirtz
M. Pedersen 🔁
↦ C. Gruezo
76′
M. Gregoritsch 🔁
↦ F. Niederlechner
76′
81′
F. Wirtz 3–2
K. Demirbay
82′
🔁 N. Amiri
↦ K. Demirbay
N. Sarenren Bazee 🔁
↦ A. Hahn
84′
R. Framberger 🔁
↦ R. Gumny
84′
84′
🔁 D. Sinkgraven
↦ M. Bakker
84′
🔁 A. Adli
↦ M. Diaby
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Augsburg

4-2-3-1
1 R. Gikiewicz G
19 F. Uduokhai D
4 R. Oxford D
2 R. Gumny D
22 Iago D
20 D. Caligiuri M
28 A. Hahn M
8 C. Gruezo M
30 N. Dorsch M
16 R. Vargas M
7 F. Niederlechner F
Bench (9)
24 F. Jensen
3 M. Pedersen
11 M. Gregoritsch
17 N. Sarenren Bazee
32 R. Framberger
41 T. Civeja
27 A. Finnbogason
40 T. Koubek
26 F. Winther

Coach: M. Weinzierl

Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
1 L. Hrádecký G
4 J. Tah D
30 J. Frimpong D
5 M. Bakker D
6 O. Kossounou D
20 C. Aránguiz M
10 K. Demirbay M
25 E. Palacios M
14 P. Schick F
19 M. Diaby M
7 Paulinho M
Bench (9)
8 R. Andrich
27 F. Wirtz
11 N. Amiri
22 D. Sinkgraven
31 A. Adli
40 A. Lunev
17 J. Pohjanpalo
33 P. Hincapié
3 P. Retsos

Coach: G. Seoane

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,75
U
3,87
B ✓
1,74
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,79
U2,5
2,06
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Brand · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.